Tokio Japan Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Zizou Bergs vs Alejandro Tabilo Prediction

Zizou Bergs

Rank: #46
47%
VS

Alejandro Tabilo

Rank: #112
53%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Alejandro Tabilo

Ranking Trends

Zizou Bergs

  • Current Rank: #46 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #50 (2025-06-23)
  • 6 Months Ago: #51 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #71 (2024-12-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #74 (2024-09-23)

Alejandro Tabilo

  • Current Rank: #112 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #60 (2025-06-23)
  • 6 Months Ago: #31 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #23 (2024-12-23)
  • 12 Months Ago: #22 (2024-09-23)

Player Metrics

Zizou Bergs

Form Index: 29.7
ELO Rating: 858.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1553.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.4
Clay: 7.2
Grass: 6.3
Serve Rating: 97.4
Return Rating: 88.0

Alejandro Tabilo

Form Index: 62.3
ELO Rating: 1234.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1591.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.4
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 16.8
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 84.3

Recent Matches

Zizou Bergs
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Juncheng Shang (1-2) hard Chengdu 130 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jaume Munar (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Chun-Hsin Tseng (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Lorenzo Sonego (0-2) hard Cincinnati 101 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Jacob Fearnley (2-0) hard Cincinnati 80 min

Alejandro Tabilo
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Brandon Nakashima (2-0) hard Chengdu 94 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Christopher O'Connell (2-1) hard Chengdu 144 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Luciano Darderi (2-0) hard Chengdu 86 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Jordan Thompson (2-0) hard Chengdu 79 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Lloyd Harris (2-1) hard Chengdu 165 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Zizou Bergs
vs
0
Alejandro Tabilo
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Zizou Bergs and Alejandro Tabilo in the Round of 32 at the ATP 500 tournament in Tokyo promises to be an intriguing contest on hard courts. Alejandro Tabilo is predicted to emerge victorious, with a win probability of 52.95% compared to Zizou Bergs' 47.05%. The anticipated total number of games played is 24.0.

Match Analysis

Zizou Bergs, currently ranked 46, has a form index of 29.73 and an Elo rating of 858.46. He has shown resilience despite a recent dip in form, as evidenced by his cumulative fatigue of 0.0 minutes, indicating he enters this match fresh. His surface strength index stands at 8.43, and he boasts a mean serve index of 97.38, along with a mean return index of 88.02. Meanwhile, Alejandro Tabilo, ranked 112, possesses a significantly better form index of 62.26 and a higher Elo rating of 1234.30. Tabilo also enters the match with zero cumulative fatigue, and his surface strength index of 11.43 suggests he performs well on hard courts. He has a mean serve index of 95.87 and a mean return index of 84.28. The substantial gap in their mean return index, favoring Bergs by 3.74 points, indicates he may have an edge in returning serves. In their recent performances, Bergs has struggled, losing two out of his last three matches, including a recent defeat against Juncheng Shang where he won only one set. Conversely, Tabilo has been in excellent form, winning all three of his last matches in Chengdu without dropping a set, showcasing confidence and consistency.

Final Prediction

Alejandro Tabilo's superior form and recent performances provide him with a crucial advantage in this matchup against Zizou Bergs. One key factor to monitor will be Tabilo's ability to control the match tempo, particularly through his serve and return game, which could dictate the outcome.