Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Zizou Bergs vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction

Zizou Bergs

Rank: #52
45%
VS

Lorenzo Sonego

Rank: #38
55%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Lorenzo Sonego

Ranking Trends

Zizou Bergs

  • Current Rank: #52 (2025-07-28)
  • 3 Months Ago: #50 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #61 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #61 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #85 (2024-08-12)

Lorenzo Sonego

  • Current Rank: #38 (2025-07-28)
  • 3 Months Ago: #44 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #34 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #51 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #56 (2024-08-12)

Player Metrics

Zizou Bergs

Form Index: 27.3
ELO Rating: 880.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1567.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 80.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.8
Clay: 7.2
Grass: 6.3
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 88.0

Lorenzo Sonego

Form Index: 47.6
ELO Rating: 1062.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1594.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 8.8
Grass: 9.8
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 84.8

Recent Matches

Zizou Bergs
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Jacob Fearnley (2-0) hard Cincinnati 80 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Emilio Nava (0-2) hard Toronto 86 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Daniel Evans (1-2) hard Washington 149 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Lloyd Harris (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Joao Fonseca (1-2) grass Eastbourne 128 min

Lorenzo Sonego
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Andrey Rublev (1-2) hard Toronto 152 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Yunchaokete Bu (2-0) hard Toronto 79 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Matteo Arnaldi (0-2) hard Washington 126 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Ben Shelton (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Brandon Nakashima (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Zizou Bergs
vs
0
Lorenzo Sonego
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 tournament, Zizou Bergs will face Lorenzo Sonego on hard courts. With a slight edge, Sonego is predicted to win with a probability of 54.84%, while Bergs has a 45.16% chance of victory. The match is expected to feature a total of approximately 23 games.

Match Analysis

Zizou Bergs, currently ranked 52, has a form index of 27.30 and an Elo rating of 880, indicating that he is currently struggling to find his rhythm. His cumulative fatigue stands at 80 minutes, which may affect his endurance as the match progresses. Bergs' surface strength index is 8.78, and he boasts a mean serve index of 97.51, coupled with a solid return index of 87.99. The difference in his serve index compared to Sonego is marginal, suggesting a competitive serving game. Lorenzo Sonego, ranked 38, showcases a higher form index of 47.65 and a significantly better Elo rating of 1063. He enters the match with zero cumulative fatigue, which may provide him an advantage in stamina. His surface strength index is 9.95, with a mean serve index of 96.02 and a return index of 84.83. While Sonego's serve is slightly less potent compared to Bergs, his return game is notably weaker, but still competitive. Analyzing their recent performances, Bergs has one win in his last three matches, while Sonego has experienced mixed results, with one win against Yunchaokete Bu and two losses.

Final Prediction

Lorenzo Sonego's superior ranking, form, and lack of fatigue give him a distinct advantage heading into this match. The key factor to monitor will be how Bergs manages his fatigue, particularly if the match extends into longer rallies, potentially tipping the balance in Sonego’s favor.