Bundesliga 2025-2026: Augsburg vs Werder Bremen Prediction
Augsburg
Home Team
58%
VS
Werder Bremen
Away Team
21%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5:
56%
Under 2.5:
44%
Goal:
56%
No Goal:
44%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 51 | 11 | 40 | 38 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 29 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 29 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 26 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 26 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 24 |
| 8 | Union Berlin | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
| 9 | Freiburg | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 17 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | M'gladbach | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 16 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 16 |
| 13 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
| 14 | Hamburg | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 11 |
| 18 | Mainz | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 7 |
Recent Trends
Augsburg
- Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Hamburg (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Stuttgart (Goals: 2 - 3)
Werder Bremen
- Last Match: vs Stuttgart (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Hamburg (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs FC Koln (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 2 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Augsburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.42
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.50
# Clean Sheets:
2
Werder Bremen
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.00
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.66
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
Augsburg is favored to win the upcoming match against Werder Bremen with a 58.0% probability. The likelihood of a draw stands at 22.0%, while an away victory for Werder Bremen is given a 21.0% chance. The game is predicted to have over 2.5 goals, with a 56.0% probability, suggesting a potentially high-scoring encounter. Currently, Augsburg sits in 15th position in the Bundesliga, fighting to move away from the relegation zone, while Werder Bremen is slightly better off in 12th place.
Match Analysis
Augsburg comes into this match with mixed recent performances. After a significant 2-0 victory against Leverkusen at home, they suffered losses against Eintracht Frankfurt and Hoffenheim, both away, without scoring. Despite these setbacks, Augsburg has shown defensive capabilities with two clean sheets in their last five matches. They average 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per game, indicating some vulnerabilities but also potential to score.
In contrast, Werder Bremen has been struggling, especially defensively, as they have not kept a clean sheet in their last five games. They have conceded an average of 2.4 goals per match, which has been a critical issue, as seen in their 4-0 home loss to Stuttgart and a 3-2 away defeat to Hamburg. Their recent draw against FC Koln was a slight improvement, but they still need to tighten their defense to avoid further losses. Offensively, they average 1.0 goals per match, which may not be enough if the defensive issues persist.
Final Prediction
Augsburg has the edge in this matchup, primarily due to their home advantage and the more consistent scoring form compared to Werder Bremen's defensive struggles. A key factor to watch in this game will be Augsburg's ability to capitalize on Werder Bremen's defensive vulnerabilities, which could lead to a high-scoring affair as predicted.