Bundesliga 2025-2026: Bayern Munich vs Dortmund Prediction
Bayern Munich
Home Team
92%
VS
Dortmund
Away Team
3%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5:
69%
Under 2.5:
31%
Goal:
57%
No Goal:
43%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 22 | 18 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | FC Koln | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Hamburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | St Pauli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Mainz | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | M'gladbach | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Bayern Munich
- Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 4 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Hamburg (Goals: 5 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Augsburg (Goals: 3 - 2)
Dortmund
- Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Union Berlin (Goals: 3 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Bayern Munich
Average Expected Goals (xG):
3.55
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.46
# Clean Sheets:
3
Dortmund
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.24
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.77
# Clean Sheets:
4
Key Prediction Insights
Bayern Munich is the predicted winner with a commanding 92.0% probability of victory over their rivals Dortmund, who have a mere 3.0% chance of winning. The match is expected to see more than 2.5 goals, with a 69.0% likelihood of such an outcome. Currently, Bayern Munich leads the Bundesliga, having won all six of their games, while Dortmund sits in second place with four wins and two draws.
Match Analysis
In their recent outings, Bayern Munich has showcased exceptional form, winning all their last three matches with convincing scorelines: a 3-0 away victory against Ein Frankfurt, a 4-0 home triumph over Werder Bremen, and a 4-1 away success against Hoffenheim. These performances underline Bayern's offensive prowess and defensive resilience, as they have scored an average of 5.0 goals per game while maintaining three clean sheets in their last five matches.
Dortmund, on the other hand, has also shown solid form, although slightly less dominant than Bayern. They managed a 1-1 draw against RB Leipzig at home, followed by victories over Mainz (2-0 away) and Wolfsburg (1-0 at home). Dortmund has been defensively sound, keeping four clean sheets in their last five games, but their average of 2.333 goals scored per match suggests they might struggle to match Bayern's attacking intensity.
Final Prediction
Bayern Munich's edge lies in their potent attack and rock-solid defense, as evidenced by their recent results and advanced metrics. With a high probability of a home win and an explosive attacking record, fans should watch for Bayern's ability to exploit any defensive lapses from Dortmund. A key factor to watch is how Dortmund's defense, which has been strong lately, can cope with Bayern's relentless offensive pressure.