Bundesliga 2025-2026: Bayern Munich vs Wolfsburg Prediction

Bayern Munich

Home Team
99%
VS

Wolfsburg

Away Team
0%
Draw: 0%
Over 2.5: 73%
Under 2.5: 27%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 15 13 2 0 55 11 44 41
2 Dortmund 15 9 5 1 26 12 14 32
3 Leverkusen 15 9 2 4 33 20 13 29
4 RB Leipzig 15 9 2 4 30 19 11 29
5 Hoffenheim 15 8 3 4 29 20 9 27
6 Stuttgart 15 8 2 5 25 22 3 26
7 Ein Frankfurt 15 7 4 4 30 30 0 25
8 Union Berlin 15 6 3 6 20 23 -3 21
9 Freiburg 15 5 5 5 25 26 -1 20
10 Werder Bremen 15 4 5 6 18 28 -10 17
11 FC Koln 15 4 4 7 22 24 -2 16
12 M'gladbach 15 4 4 7 18 24 -6 16
13 Hamburg 15 4 4 7 16 25 -9 16
14 Wolfsburg 15 4 3 8 23 28 -5 15
15 Augsburg 15 4 2 9 17 28 -11 14
16 St Pauli 15 3 3 9 13 26 -13 12
17 Heidenheim 15 3 2 10 13 34 -21 11
18 Mainz 15 1 5 9 13 26 -13 8

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Bayern Munich

Average Expected Goals (xG): 3.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.77
# Clean Sheets: 2

Wolfsburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.39
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.63
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Bayern Munich is heavily favored to win their upcoming match against Wolfsburg, with a staggering 99.0% probability of victory. Given these odds, a draw or a Wolfsburg win seems almost implausible. The expectation for this match is that it will be a high-scoring affair, with a 73.0% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored. In terms of league standings, Bayern Munich sits comfortably at the top of the Bundesliga, while Wolfsburg is struggling in 14th place.

Match Analysis

Bayern Munich has been in dominant form, as indicated by their recent performances. They have secured convincing victories against Heidenheim and Stuttgart, scoring nine goals in these two away matches without conceding any. However, they did face a surprising draw against Mainz at home, where they allowed two goals. On average, Bayern scores 3.2 goals per game and concedes 1.2, showcasing their offensive prowess and relatively solid defense. With two clean sheets in their last five matches, Bayern's defense will be critical against Wolfsburg. Wolfsburg, on the other hand, has had mixed results in their recent fixtures. They managed to secure wins against M'gladbach and Union Berlin, both with a 3-1 scoreline, but suffered a home defeat against Freiburg. Wolfsburg's average of 1.4 goals scored and conceded suggests they are capable of finding the net but also vulnerable at the back. They have yet to keep a clean sheet in the last five matches, which might be concerning against a high-scoring team like Bayern Munich.

Final Prediction

Bayern Munich's superior form and league position give them a significant edge in this clash. Their ability to score goals consistently, coupled with Wolfsburg's defensive vulnerabilities, suggests a decisive win for the home side. A key factor to watch will be Bayern’s attacking force, which could create numerous scoring opportunities against a shaky Wolfsburg defense.