Bundesliga 2025-2026: Dortmund vs Hoffenheim Prediction
Dortmund
Home Team
65%
VS
Hoffenheim
Away Team
17%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5:
54%
Under 2.5:
46%
Goal:
58%
No Goal:
42%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 9 | 35 | 34 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 23 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 23 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 21 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | M'gladbach | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Hamburg | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 10 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 8 |
| 17 | St Pauli | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 | Mainz | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Dortmund
- Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Stuttgart (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Hamburg (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Augsburg (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs FC Koln (Goals: 1 - 0)
Hoffenheim
- Last Match: vs Augsburg (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 3 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Dortmund
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.80
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.12
# Clean Sheets:
2
Hoffenheim
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.13
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.90
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Dortmund and Hoffenheim is anticipated to tilt in favor of the home team, Dortmund, with a 65% probability of victory. The match is also expected to feature more than 2.5 goals, with a 54% probability suggesting a high-scoring affair. Currently, Dortmund is in 3rd place in the league standings, while Hoffenheim is closely behind in 5th place.
Match Analysis
In recent performances, Dortmund has shown resilience, securing a win against Leverkusen (2-1) and drawing against both Stuttgart (3-3) and Hamburg (1-1). This pattern highlights Dortmund's offensive capabilities, averaging 1.8 goals per game in the last five matches, though they have also conceded an average of 0.8 goals. Their defensive efforts have yielded two clean sheets in recent outings, showcasing a balanced team able to both score and defend effectively.
Hoffenheim, on the other hand, has been in fine form, achieving an impressive victory over Augsburg (3-0) and a significant win against RB Leipzig (3-1). Their draw against Mainz (1-1) indicates a strong attacking presence, with an average of 2.4 goals scored per game over the last five matches. However, they show some defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.2 goals, with only one match resulting in a clean sheet.
Final Prediction
Dortmund's slightly superior league position and consistent overall performance give them the edge in this encounter. Their ability to manage both offensive and defensive aspects of the game effectively positions them well against Hoffenheim. A key factor to watch will be Dortmund's defensive organization against Hoffenheim's potent attack, which could define the outcome of this thrilling Bundesliga matchup.