Bundesliga 2025-2026: Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction

Dortmund

Home Team
90%
VS

Werder Bremen

Away Team
4%
Draw: 6%
Over 2.5: 60%
Under 2.5: 40%
Goal: 50%
No Goal: 50%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 16 14 2 0 63 12 51 44
2 Dortmund 16 9 6 1 29 15 14 33
3 RB Leipzig 15 9 2 4 30 19 11 29
4 Leverkusen 16 9 2 5 34 24 10 29
5 Stuttgart 16 9 2 5 29 23 6 29
6 Hoffenheim 15 8 3 4 29 20 9 27
7 Ein Frankfurt 16 7 5 4 33 33 0 26
8 Freiburg 16 6 5 5 27 27 0 23
9 Union Berlin 16 6 4 6 22 25 -3 22
10 M'gladbach 16 5 4 7 22 24 -2 19
11 FC Koln 16 4 5 7 24 26 -2 17
12 Werder Bremen 15 4 5 6 18 28 -10 17
13 Hamburg 16 4 4 8 17 27 -10 16
14 Wolfsburg 16 4 3 9 24 36 -12 15
15 Augsburg 16 4 2 10 17 32 -15 14
16 St Pauli 15 3 3 9 13 26 -13 12
17 Heidenheim 16 3 3 10 15 36 -21 12
18 Mainz 16 1 6 9 15 28 -13 9

Recent Trends

Dortmund ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Freiburg (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Leverkusen (Goals: 2 - 1)

Werder Bremen ⚪ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Augsburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Hamburg (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs FC Koln (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Dortmund

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.73
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.06
# Clean Sheets: 2

Werder Bremen

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.12
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.10
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Dortmund and Werder Bremen is heavily tipped in favor of the home side, Dortmund, with a commanding 90% probability of victory. This makes them the overwhelming favorites, especially given that they currently sit in second place in the Bundesliga standings. Additionally, the game is expected to be high-scoring, with a 60% chance of seeing more than 2.5 goals. On the other hand, Werder Bremen is struggling in 12th place, with a mere 4% chance of pulling off an upset.

Match Analysis

Recent performances offer a glimpse into the form and potential of both teams. Dortmund has shown resilience, with a win against M'gladbach and draws against Ein Frankfurt and Freiburg. Their ability to score is evident, with an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last five encounters. Defensively, they've been solid, conceding just 0.8 goals on average, and securing two clean sheets in the same period. Their expected goals (xG) metrics also support their attacking prowess, averaging 1.732 xG per game. Werder Bremen, conversely, has been less convincing. They have not won any of their last three matches, managing a draw against Augsburg but suffering defeats to Stuttgart and Hamburg. Their struggles are reflected in their low scoring average of 1.0 goal per game and a higher concession rate of 1.6 goals per game. The xG data further highlights their defensive vulnerabilities, with an average of 2.096 expected goals conceded per match.

Final Prediction

Dortmund's impressive form and statistical advantage give them a clear edge in this matchup. Their attacking efficiency and defensive solidity make them a formidable opponent for Werder Bremen, who is grappling with inconsistencies and defensive frailties. Keep an eye on Dortmund's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, as this could be the decisive factor in what promises to be an engaging encounter.