Bundesliga 2025-2026: FC Koln vs Augsburg Prediction

FC Koln

Home Team
65%
VS

Augsburg

Away Team
17%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5: 58%
Under 2.5: 42%
Goal: 60%
No Goal: 40%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 6 6 0 0 25 3 22 18
2 Dortmund 6 4 2 0 12 4 8 14
3 RB Leipzig 6 4 1 1 8 8 0 13
4 Stuttgart 6 4 0 2 8 6 2 12
5 Leverkusen 6 3 2 1 12 8 4 11
6 FC Koln 6 3 1 2 11 9 2 10
7 Ein Frankfurt 6 3 0 3 17 16 1 9
8 Freiburg 6 2 2 2 9 9 0 8
9 Hamburg 6 2 2 2 6 8 -2 8
10 St Pauli 6 2 1 3 8 9 -1 7
11 Hoffenheim 6 2 1 3 9 12 -3 7
12 Werder Bremen 6 2 1 3 9 14 -5 7
13 Union Berlin 6 2 1 3 8 13 -5 7
14 Augsburg 6 2 0 4 11 13 -2 6
15 Wolfsburg 6 1 2 3 8 10 -2 5
16 Mainz 6 1 1 4 5 10 -5 4
17 M'gladbach 6 0 3 3 5 12 -7 3
18 Heidenheim 6 1 0 5 4 11 -7 3

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

FC Koln

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.46
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.57
# Clean Sheets: 1

Augsburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.95
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.00
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Augsburg is expected to be an engaging contest, with FC Koln having a strong probability of victory at 65%. The likelihood of a draw stands at 18%, while Augsburg's chances of winning are pegged at 17%. The game is also predicted to have over 2.5 goals scored, with a 58% probability. FC Koln currently sits at the 6th position in the league standings, while Augsburg is further down at 14th.

Match Analysis

FC Koln comes into this match with a mixed bag of recent performances. They secured a narrow 1-0 victory away against Hoffenheim, but suffered back-to-back losses against Stuttgart and RB Leipzig. Despite these setbacks, FC Koln has shown resilience, particularly in defense, as evidenced by their clean sheet against Hoffenheim. Key metrics highlight that FC Koln has been scoring an average of 2.5 goals per game in their last five matches, while conceding an average of 1.5 goals. Their expected goals (xG) metrics suggest a solid attacking potential, with an average of 1.46 xG per game. Augsburg's recent outings have been inconsistent, with a win over Wolfsburg (3-1) but losses to Heidenheim and Mainz. Their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 1.67 goals per game in the last five matches. Augsburg's offensive threat seems muted with an average of 0.95 expected goals scored per game, indicating that they may struggle to break down FC Koln’s defense. Their inability to keep a clean sheet in recent matches could be a significant concern against a goal-hungry Koln side.

Final Prediction

FC Koln appears to have the upper hand in this encounter, thanks to their superior recent goal-scoring form and defensive solidity. The key factor to watch will be FC Koln's ability to capitalize on their attacking opportunities and maintain defensive discipline to exploit Augsburg's vulnerabilities. With a high probability of over 2.5 goals, fans can expect an exciting and potentially high-scoring affair.