Bundesliga 2025-2026: Hamburg vs Ein Frankfurt Prediction

Hamburg

Home Team
22%
VS

Ein Frankfurt

Away Team
62%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 14 12 2 0 51 11 40 38
2 RB Leipzig 14 9 2 3 29 16 13 29
3 Dortmund 14 8 5 1 24 12 12 29
4 Leverkusen 14 8 2 4 30 19 11 26
5 Hoffenheim 14 8 2 4 29 20 9 26
6 Stuttgart 14 8 1 5 25 22 3 25
7 Ein Frankfurt 14 7 3 4 29 29 0 24
8 Union Berlin 14 5 3 6 19 23 -4 18
9 Freiburg 14 4 5 5 21 23 -2 17
10 FC Koln 14 4 4 6 22 23 -1 16
11 M'gladbach 14 4 4 6 18 22 -4 16
12 Werder Bremen 14 4 4 6 18 28 -10 16
13 Wolfsburg 14 4 3 7 20 24 -4 15
14 Hamburg 14 4 3 7 15 24 -9 15
15 Augsburg 14 4 1 9 17 28 -11 13
16 St Pauli 14 3 2 9 13 26 -13 11
17 Heidenheim 14 3 2 9 13 30 -17 11
18 Mainz 14 1 4 9 13 26 -13 7

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Hamburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.46
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.00
# Clean Sheets: 0

Ein Frankfurt

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.74
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.82
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

As Hamburg prepares to face Eintracht Frankfurt, the odds are stacked in favor of the away team. Eintracht Frankfurt has a 62.0% probability of securing a win, while Hamburg's chances stand at 22.0%. The likelihood of the match ending in a draw is 16.0%. Furthermore, the game is expected to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 50.0% probability of such an outcome. Frankfurt currently sits in 7th place in the Bundesliga standings, while Hamburg is positioned in 14th place, highlighting the disparity in their league performances.

Match Analysis

Hamburg enters the match on the back of mixed results from their last three fixtures. They secured two home victories against Werder Bremen and Stuttgart but suffered a heavy away defeat to Hoffenheim. Despite recent successes at home, with an average of 2.0 goals scored per game over the last five matches, their defensive vulnerabilities are apparent, conceding an average of 1.0 goals in the same period. Hamburg has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five outings, which could be a concern as they face a potent Frankfurt attack. On the other hand, Eintracht Frankfurt's recent performances have been a mixed bag as well. A victory against Augsburg and a draw against Wolfsburg were overshadowed by a heavy defeat at the hands of RB Leipzig. Frankfurt's attacking prowess is evident with an average of 2.6 goals scored in the last five games, but their defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 3.2 goals per match. Despite the defensive lapses, their ability to score could be pivotal in the upcoming clash against Hamburg.

Final Prediction

Eintracht Frankfurt is favored to win, largely due to their offensive capabilities and higher league standing. Their superior goal-scoring record gives them the edge over a Hamburg side struggling for defensive solidity. A key factor to watch will be Frankfurt's ability to exploit Hamburg's defensive weaknesses, potentially turning the game in their favor with their attacking firepower.