Bundesliga 2025-2026: Heidenheim vs Freiburg Prediction
Heidenheim
Home Team
17%
VS
Freiburg
Away Team
70%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5:
52%
Under 2.5:
48%
Goal:
55%
No Goal:
45%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 9 | 35 | 34 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 23 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 23 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 21 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | M'gladbach | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Hamburg | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 10 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 8 |
| 17 | St Pauli | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 | Mainz | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Heidenheim
- Last Match: vs Union Berlin (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs M'gladbach (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 0 - 6)
- 4th Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 3)
Freiburg
- Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 4 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 2 - 6)
- 3rd Last Match: vs St Pauli (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Union Berlin (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 0 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Heidenheim
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.27
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.87
# Clean Sheets:
0
Freiburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.74
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Heidenheim and Freiburg is expected to tilt heavily in favor of Freiburg, with a 70% probability of an away victory. Heidenheim, currently languishing in 16th place, faces a tough challenge against Freiburg, who occupies the 8th spot in the Bundesliga table. The match is predicted to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 52% chance of this occurring, suggesting an open and potentially high-scoring encounter.
Match Analysis
Heidenheim's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with a solitary win against Union Berlin being overshadowed by heavy defeats to M'gladbach and Leverkusen. Their defensive frailties have been evident, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game over their last five matches, while failing to keep a clean sheet. Offensively, they have struggled as well, scoring just one goal on average across the same period, indicating potential vulnerabilities that Freiburg will look to exploit.
Freiburg, on the other hand, comes into this fixture with a slightly more favorable recent run. Victories over Mainz and St Pauli have bolstered their confidence, even though they suffered a heavy defeat to Bayern Munich. Freiburg's defensive solidity is evident from their two clean sheets in the last five matches, which could prove crucial against a Heidenheim side that has had difficulties finding the net. Their attacking prowess, averaging 1.0 goal per game, suggests a balanced approach that can adapt as the game unfolds.
Final Prediction
Freiburg's edge in this matchup stems from their superior league position and recent form, highlighted by their ability to secure victories and maintain defensive discipline. A key factor to watch will be Freiburg's capacity to capitalize on Heidenheim's defensive lapses, potentially paving the way for a decisive away win. With the game likely to see over 2.5 goals, fans should expect an entertaining contest.