Bundesliga 2025-2026: Heidenheim vs M'gladbach Prediction
Heidenheim
Home Team
23%
VS
M'gladbach
Away Team
59%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5:
56%
Under 2.5:
44%
Goal:
54%
No Goal:
46%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 6 | 29 | 28 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 20 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | FC Koln | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | Freiburg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | M'gladbach | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 | Hamburg | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 7 |
| 16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 7 |
| 17 | Mainz | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Heidenheim
- Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 0 - 6)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Stuttgart (Goals: 0 - 1)
M'gladbach
- Last Match: vs FC Koln (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs St Pauli (Goals: 4 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Union Berlin (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Heidenheim
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.36
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.83
# Clean Sheets:
0
M'gladbach
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.79
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.30
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Heidenheim and M'gladbach is leaning heavily in favor of the away team, with a 59.0% probability of M'gladbach securing a victory. In contrast, Heidenheim has a modest 23.0% chance of winning. Additionally, the game is anticipated to be high-scoring, with a 56.0% probability of yielding over 2.5 goals. M'gladbach currently sits in 12th position in the Bundesliga standings, whereas Heidenheim finds itself at the bottom in 18th place.
Match Analysis
Heidenheim's recent performances have been challenging, as evidenced by their last three matches. They suffered a heavy defeat against Leverkusen, losing 0-6 away, managed a 1-1 draw at home against Ein Frankfurt, and faced another loss to Hoffenheim, 1-3 away. Their struggles are reflected in their advanced metrics, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per game in their last five outings. These statistics highlight their defensive vulnerabilities and a lack of clean sheets.
M'gladbach, on the other hand, has shown a more positive streak in recent games. They secured a solid 3-1 home victory against FC Koln and an impressive 4-0 away win against St Pauli, before a setback against Bayern Munich with a 0-3 loss at home. Their advanced metrics indicate a stronger attacking potential with 1.5 average goals scored per game and a defensively sound record of 1.25 goals conceded on average. Additionally, M'gladbach has managed two clean sheets in their last five matches, demonstrating their ability to hold strong defensively.
Final Prediction
M'gladbach's edge in this fixture comes from their recent winning form and more robust defensive performances compared to Heidenheim's struggles. The key factor to watch in this match will be M'gladbach's ability to capitalize on Heidenheim's defensive frailties, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair as predicted.