Bundesliga 2025-2026: Heidenheim vs Werder Bremen Prediction
Heidenheim
Home Team
55%
VS
Werder Bremen
Away Team
23%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5:
53%
Under 2.5:
47%
Goal:
56%
No Goal:
44%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 22 | 18 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | FC Koln | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Hamburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | St Pauli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Mainz | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | M'gladbach | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Heidenheim
- Last Match: vs Stuttgart (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Augsburg (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Hamburg (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Dortmund (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 2)
Werder Bremen
- Last Match: vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs M'gladbach (Goals: 4 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 3 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Heidenheim
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.96
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.02
# Clean Sheets:
0
Werder Bremen
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.05
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
3.01
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Heidenheim and Werder Bremen is predicted to swing in favor of the home team, with a 55.0% probability of Heidenheim emerging victorious. Furthermore, the game is expected to feature more than 2.5 goals, with a 53.0% likelihood. Currently, Heidenheim stands at the bottom of the Bundesliga table in 18th position, while Werder Bremen occupies the 12th spot.
Match Analysis
Heidenheim's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with a victory against Augsburg sandwiched between losses to Stuttgart and Hamburg. Despite their struggles, they've managed to score in each of their last three outings, albeit conceding more frequently, which is a concern. In terms of advanced metrics, Heidenheim averages 1.0 goals per game while conceding 2.0 goals on average, reflecting their defensive vulnerabilities.
On the other side, Werder Bremen has shown a similar pattern with a single victory against St Pauli followed by defeats against powerhouses Bayern Munich and Freiburg. Their scoring has been more prolific, averaging 1.67 goals per match, but their defensive frailties are evident in the 2.67 goals conceded per game. Interestingly, Werder Bremen has managed to keep two clean sheets in their last five matches, showcasing their potential to tighten up at the back under pressure.
Final Prediction
Heidenheim holds the edge in this matchup primarily due to their home advantage and the slightly higher probability of securing a win. However, their leaky defense could be exploited by a Werder Bremen side that has shown an ability to find the back of the net. A key factor to watch will be Heidenheim's defensive resilience; if they manage to shore up their backline, they could capitalize on Bremen's defensive lapses to clinch the three points.