Bundesliga 2025-2026: Hoffenheim vs Augsburg Prediction
Hoffenheim
Home Team
77%
VS
Augsburg
Away Team
10%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5:
55%
Under 2.5:
45%
Goal:
54%
No Goal:
46%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 41 | 8 | 33 | 31 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | Leverkusen | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 23 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Stuttgart | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Ein Frankfurt | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Union Berlin | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 14 |
| 11 | Freiburg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | M'gladbach | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 10 |
| 14 | Hamburg | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 9 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 | St Pauli | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Mainz | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Hoffenheim
- Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs St Pauli (Goals: 3 - 0)
Augsburg
- Last Match: vs Hamburg (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Stuttgart (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Dortmund (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 6)
- 5th Last Match: vs FC Koln (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Hoffenheim
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.62
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.66
# Clean Sheets:
1
Augsburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.17
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.80
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
Hoffenheim is favored to win with a commanding probability of 77.0%, while Augsburg's chances stand at a mere 10.0%. The likelihood of a draw is 13.0%. Given these probabilities, Hoffenheim is expected to secure a home victory. The prediction also indicates a high probability of over 2.5 goals at 55.0%. Currently, Hoffenheim sits in 7th place in the Bundesliga standings, with Augsburg in 13th.
Match Analysis
In their recent performances, Hoffenheim has shown resilience, drawing 1-1 away against Mainz before achieving consecutive victories against RB Leipzig and Wolfsburg. Particularly noteworthy was their 3-1 home triumph over Leipzig, showcasing their attacking prowess. Hoffenheim's ability to score is highlighted by their average of 1.6 goals per game over their last five encounters, although they have conceded an average of 2.0 goals, indicating some defensive vulnerabilities.
Conversely, Augsburg has experienced mixed fortunes. They secured a narrow 1-0 victory at home against Hamburg but suffered defeats against Stuttgart and Dortmund, both tight contests. Augsburg has also averaged 1.6 goals scored per game in their last five matches, but they've conceded slightly fewer goals at 1.8. Despite these similar scoring statistics, Augsburg's expected goals (xG) suggest they might have been overperforming in front of the goal.
Final Prediction
Hoffenheim's edge in this matchup is attributed to their recent form and home advantage, alongside a stronger league position. With both teams showing a similar scoring rate, Hoffenheim’s superior expected goals performance and recent victories provide them with a tangible advantage. A key factor to watch will be Hoffenheim's attacking structure, as it may prove decisive in breaking down Augsburg's defense.