Bundesliga 2025-2026: Hoffenheim vs Heidenheim Prediction
Hoffenheim
Home Team
51%
VS
Heidenheim
Away Team
25%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5:
60%
Under 2.5:
40%
Goal:
57%
No Goal:
43%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 21 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | FC Koln | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Freiburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Hamburg | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Mainz | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | M'gladbach | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Hoffenheim
- Last Match: vs St Pauli (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs FC Koln (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Freiburg (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 5th Last Match: vs Union Berlin (Goals: 4 - 2)
Heidenheim
- Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Stuttgart (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Augsburg (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Hamburg (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Dortmund (Goals: 0 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Hoffenheim
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.25
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.95
# Clean Sheets:
1
Heidenheim
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.30
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.58
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Heidenheim is poised to favor the home team, Hoffenheim, with a 51.0% probability of winning. The prediction leans towards a high-scoring encounter, with a 60.0% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored. Currently, Hoffenheim sits in the 8th position, while Heidenheim struggles near the bottom at 17th in the league standings.
Match Analysis
Hoffenheim's recent performances have shown mixed results, including a notable 3-0 away victory against St Pauli. However, they faced a narrow 0-1 defeat at home to FC Koln and managed a 1-1 draw away at Freiburg. Despite these varied outcomes, Hoffenheim's offensive potential remains apparent, averaging 1.246 expected goals per game in their last five outings. However, their defense has shown vulnerability, conceding an average of 2.666 goals, which could be a concern.
Heidenheim, on the other hand, has experienced a challenging spell, with only one win in their last three matches. They managed a 2-2 home draw against Werder Bremen and a 2-1 victory over Augsburg, but suffered a 0-1 away loss to Stuttgart. Offensively, Heidenheim has been less potent, averaging 0.333 goals per game in their recent performances, while defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.666 goals. Their expected goals metrics suggest they create chances but struggle to convert them.
Final Prediction
Hoffenheim's home advantage and superior league position give them the edge in this matchup. Their ability to create more scoring opportunities, as reflected in their expected goals, could be crucial against a Heidenheim side that has difficulty finding the net. Watch for Hoffenheim's attacking prowess and whether they can capitalize on Heidenheim's defensive weaknesses to secure a vital win.