Bundesliga 2025-2026: Leverkusen vs Heidenheim Prediction

Leverkusen

Home Team
85%
VS

Heidenheim

Away Team
7%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5: 61%
Under 2.5: 39%
Goal: 57%
No Goal: 43%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 9 9 0 0 33 4 29 27
2 RB Leipzig 9 7 1 1 19 10 9 22
3 Dortmund 9 6 2 1 15 6 9 20
4 Stuttgart 9 6 0 3 14 10 4 18
5 Leverkusen 9 5 2 2 18 14 4 17
6 Hoffenheim 9 5 1 3 18 15 3 16
7 FC Koln 9 4 2 3 16 12 4 14
8 Ein Frankfurt 9 4 2 3 22 19 3 14
9 Werder Bremen 9 3 3 3 13 17 -4 12
10 Union Berlin 9 3 2 4 11 15 -4 11
11 Freiburg 9 2 4 3 11 13 -2 10
12 Wolfsburg 9 2 2 5 11 16 -5 8
13 Hamburg 9 2 2 5 8 15 -7 8
14 Augsburg 9 2 1 6 12 21 -9 7
15 St Pauli 9 2 1 6 8 18 -10 7
16 M'gladbach 9 1 3 5 10 18 -8 6
17 Mainz 9 1 2 6 10 17 -7 5
18 Heidenheim 9 1 2 6 8 17 -9 5

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Leverkusen

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.23
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.87
# Clean Sheets: 2

Heidenheim

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.20
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.54
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Leverkusen and Heidenheim is heavily tilted in favor of the home team, with an 85.0% probability of Leverkusen emerging victorious. The likelihood of the game featuring more than 2.5 goals stands at 61.0%, suggesting an open and attacking match. Leverkusen currently holds the 5th position in the Bundesliga standings, while Heidenheim is struggling at the bottom in 18th place.

Match Analysis

Leverkusen comes into this encounter with a mixed bag of recent results. After a tough loss against league leaders Bayern Munich, they bounced back with a solid 2-0 victory over Freiburg and edged past Mainz in a thrilling 4-3 away win. Their ability to score goals has been evident, averaging 1.8 goals per game over the last five matches. Crucially, their defensive resilience has also been noteworthy, with two clean sheets in the last five outings and an average of just 0.8 goals conceded per game. Heidenheim, on the other hand, has been struggling to find form. They managed two draws against Ein Frankfurt and Werder Bremen, but suffered a defeat to Hoffenheim. Offensively, they have been less potent, with an average of 0.5 goals scored per game in their last five matches. Their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game, which could spell trouble against a confident Leverkusen attack.

Final Prediction

Leverkusen's superior form and attacking prowess give them a decisive edge over Heidenheim. Their ability to control games and find the back of the net consistently could be the key to securing all three points. A critical factor to watch will be Leverkusen's attacking duo, as their performance could determine the outcome of the game, especially against a defense that has struggled to keep clean sheets.