Bundesliga 2025-2026: Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen Prediction - 24 Jan 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Leverkusen

Home Team
88%
VS

Werder Bremen

Away Team
5%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5: 59%
Under 2.5: 41%
Goal: 56%
No Goal: 44%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 18 16 2 0 71 14 57 50
2 Dortmund 18 11 6 1 35 17 18 39
3 Hoffenheim 17 10 3 4 35 21 14 33
4 Stuttgart 18 10 3 5 33 26 7 33
5 RB Leipzig 17 10 2 5 33 24 9 32
6 Leverkusen 17 9 2 6 34 25 9 29
7 Ein Frankfurt 18 7 6 5 38 39 -1 27
8 Freiburg 18 6 6 6 29 31 -2 24
9 Union Berlin 18 6 6 6 24 27 -3 24
10 FC Koln 18 5 5 8 27 30 -3 20
11 M'gladbach 18 5 5 8 23 29 -6 20
12 Wolfsburg 18 5 4 9 27 38 -11 19
13 Werder Bremen 17 4 6 7 21 34 -13 18
14 Hamburg 17 4 5 8 17 27 -10 17
15 Augsburg 18 4 4 10 20 35 -15 16
16 Heidenheim 18 3 4 11 17 39 -22 13
17 Mainz 18 2 6 10 18 31 -13 12
18 St Pauli 17 3 3 11 16 31 -15 12

Recent Trends

Leverkusen L L W W L

  • Last Match: L vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Stuttgart (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs FC Koln (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Augsburg (Goals: 0 - 2)

Werder Bremen D L D L L

  • Last Match: D vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Dortmund (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Augsburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Stuttgart (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Hamburg (Goals: 2 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Leverkusen

xG (avg) 2.35
xGA (avg) 0.98
Clean Sheets 1

Werder Bremen

xG (avg) 0.83
xGA (avg) 1.94
Clean Sheets 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Leverkusen and Werder Bremen is heavily tipped in favor of the home team, Leverkusen, with an impressive 88.0% probability of victory. This is supported by their current 6th place standing in the Bundesliga compared to Werder Bremen's 13th position. With a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals, standing at 59.0%, fans can expect an action-packed match filled with scoring opportunities.

Match Analysis

Leverkusen comes into this fixture with mixed recent performances, securing a strong 3-1 victory against RB Leipzig away but suffering losses to Hoffenheim and Stuttgart. Despite these setbacks, Leverkusen's average of 2.4 goals scored in their last five games underscores their attacking prowess, supported by an expected goals average of 2.346. Defensively, they've conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game, showing some vulnerabilities, but maintained one clean sheet during this period. On the other hand, Werder Bremen struggles to find consistency, reflected in their recent draws against Ein Frankfurt and Augsburg, and a heavy defeat to Dortmund. They have scored just 0.6 goals per game on average in their last five outings while conceding 1.8. This lack of offensive threat is mirrored in their expected goals of 0.826, while their defensive frailties are evident with an expected goals conceded of 1.944. While they managed a clean sheet against Augsburg, their overall defensive record remains concerning.

Final Prediction

Leverkusen's superior offensive capabilities and more robust form give them a clear edge in this encounter. Their ability to score freely, combined with Werder Bremen's defensive struggles, suggests that Leverkusen is well-positioned to capitalize on their opponent's weaknesses. A key factor to watch will be how Leverkusen's attack manages to break down Bremen's defense, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair.

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