Bundesliga 2025-2026: M'gladbach vs Augsburg Prediction
M'gladbach
Home Team
59%
VS
Augsburg
Away Team
20%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5:
52%
Under 2.5:
48%
Goal:
54%
No Goal:
46%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 55 | 11 | 44 | 41 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
| 3 | Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 29 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 29 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 27 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 26 |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Union Berlin | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | Freiburg | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 17 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | M'gladbach | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 16 |
| 13 | Hamburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 | Wolfsburg | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 14 |
| 16 | St Pauli | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 12 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 11 |
| 18 | Mainz | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 8 |
Recent Trends
M'gladbach
- Last Match: vs Dortmund (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 3 - 0)
Augsburg
- Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Hamburg (Goals: 1 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
M'gladbach
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.94
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.86
# Clean Sheets:
3
Augsburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.99
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.62
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between M'gladbach and Augsburg sees the home team as the favorite, with a 59.0% probability of securing a victory. The likelihood of the match ending in a draw stands at 21.0%, while Augsburg's chances of winning are pegged at 20.0%. The game is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with a 52.0% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored. Currently, M'gladbach sits in 12th place in the Bundesliga standings, while Augsburg is in 15th place, dangerously close to the relegation zone.
Match Analysis
M'gladbach's recent performances have been a mixed bag. They have managed one win in their last three games, a hard-fought 1-0 victory against Mainz away from home. However, they suffered defeats against Dortmund and Wolfsburg, highlighting inconsistencies in their form. Despite these results, M'gladbach has shown defensive resilience, keeping three clean sheets in their last five matches. However, their attacking output has been less impressive, with an average of 0.8 goals scored per game in the same period.
Augsburg, on the other hand, has shown signs of struggle, particularly in front of goal. In their last three games, they managed a draw with Werder Bremen and a significant win over Leverkusen, both at home, but fell to a narrow defeat against Ein Frankfurt. Augsburg's defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game over their last five outings. Their expected goals metrics suggest they are slightly underperforming in attack, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per game despite generating more opportunities.
Final Prediction
M'gladbach appears to have the edge in this matchup, primarily due to their stronger defensive record and home advantage. Augsburg's defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistency in front of goal may prove costly against a M'gladbach side looking to capitalize on any mistakes. A key factor to watch will be M'gladbach's ability to convert chances into goals, which could decisively tilt the balance in their favor.