Bundesliga 2025-2026: RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen Prediction

RB Leipzig

Home Team
78%
VS

Werder Bremen

Away Team
10%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5: 58%
Under 2.5: 42%
Goal: 60%
No Goal: 40%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 10 9 1 0 35 6 29 28
2 RB Leipzig 10 7 1 2 20 13 7 22
3 Dortmund 10 6 3 1 16 7 9 21
4 Stuttgart 10 7 0 3 17 12 5 21
5 Leverkusen 10 6 2 2 24 14 10 20
6 Hoffenheim 10 6 1 3 21 16 5 19
7 Ein Frankfurt 10 5 2 3 23 19 4 17
8 Werder Bremen 10 4 3 3 15 18 -3 15
9 FC Koln 10 4 2 4 17 15 2 14
10 Freiburg 10 3 4 3 13 14 -1 13
11 Union Berlin 10 3 3 4 13 17 -4 12
12 M'gladbach 10 2 3 5 13 19 -6 9
13 Hamburg 10 2 3 5 9 16 -7 9
14 Wolfsburg 10 2 2 6 12 18 -6 8
15 Augsburg 10 2 1 7 14 24 -10 7
16 St Pauli 10 2 1 7 9 20 -11 7
17 Mainz 10 1 2 7 10 18 -8 5
18 Heidenheim 10 1 2 7 8 23 -15 5

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

RB Leipzig

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.50
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.18
# Clean Sheets: 1

Werder Bremen

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.18
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.80
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

RB Leipzig is expected to secure a victory against Werder Bremen with a strong probability of 78.0%. The match is anticipated to have more than 2.5 goals, with a 58.0% likelihood of this outcome. Currently, RB Leipzig holds a commendable 2nd position in the Bundesliga standings, while Werder Bremen sits in 8th place.

Match Analysis

RB Leipzig has displayed a mixed bag of performances in their last three matches. After a setback against Hoffenheim, where they conceded three goals, they bounced back with convincing wins against Stuttgart and Augsburg, scoring a total of nine goals across these two games. Their ability to score prolifically is reflected in their recent average of 2.5 goals per game, alongside maintaining a solid defensive record by conceding only 0.75 goals on average. On the other hand, Werder Bremen has shown resilience in their recent fixtures. They managed a narrow win against Wolfsburg and secured a clean sheet victory over Union Berlin. However, a draw against Mainz highlights inconsistencies, particularly in their defense, which has conceded an average of 2.2 goals per match. Their offensive potential, averaging 1.6 goals per game, will be put to test against Leipzig's robust defense.

Final Prediction

RB Leipzig's superior attacking prowess and their stronger overall form give them a clear edge in this encounter. With a home advantage and a higher league standing, they are poised to capitalize on Werder Bremen's defensive vulnerabilities. A key factor to watch will be Leipzig's ability to maintain their scoring momentum while leveraging their defensive solidity to stifle Bremen's attack.