Bundesliga 2025-2026: St Pauli vs Hoffenheim Prediction
St Pauli
Home Team
43%
VS
Hoffenheim
Away Team
32%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5:
53%
Under 2.5:
47%
Goal:
58%
No Goal:
42%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 22 | 18 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | FC Koln | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Hamburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | St Pauli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
| 13 | Union Berlin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Mainz | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | M'gladbach | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
Recent Trends
St Pauli
- Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Stuttgart (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Augsburg (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Hamburg (Goals: 2 - 0)
Hoffenheim
- Last Match: vs FC Koln (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Freiburg (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 4th Last Match: vs Union Berlin (Goals: 4 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
St Pauli
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.41
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.44
# Clean Sheets:
1
Hoffenheim
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.03
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.80
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between St Pauli and Hoffenheim sees St Pauli pegged as slight favorites with a 43.0% probability of securing a home victory. Hoffenheim follows with a 32.0% chance of winning, while a draw stands at 25.0%. Positioned closely in the standings, St Pauli is 10th and Hoffenheim 11th, both teams sharing 7 points. The game is expected to be lively with a 53.0% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored.
Match Analysis
St Pauli enters this match on a challenging run, having lost their last three fixtures. They were narrowly defeated by Werder Bremen (0-1) and Leverkusen (1-2), and suffered a two-goal loss to Stuttgart away. Their recent form shows a struggle to find consistency in front of goal, scoring only once in these three outings. However, they maintain a balanced average of 2.0 goals scored and conceded over the last five matches, indicating potential for both offensive and defensive contributions.
Hoffenheim, in contrast, also finds themselves in a rough patch, failing to win any of their last three matches. They managed a 1-1 draw against Freiburg, but suffered defeats to FC Koln (0-1) and a heavy loss to Bayern Munich (1-4). Despite these setbacks, Hoffenheim's advanced metrics suggest a potent attack, averaging 2.33 goals scored per game in their last five, although defensive frailties are evident with 1.33 goals conceded per game.
Final Prediction
St Pauli's edge in this encounter stems from the home advantage and Hoffenheim's recent defensive vulnerabilities. A key factor to watch is Hoffenheim's offensive prowess against St Pauli's defense, which could dictate the flow and outcome of the match. The game promises excitement and the potential for goals, with both teams eager to break their winless streaks.