Bundesliga 2025-2026: Stuttgart vs Union Berlin Prediction - 18 Jan 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Stuttgart

Home Team
56%
VS

Union Berlin

Away Team
21%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5: 52%
Under 2.5: 48%
Goal: 59%
No Goal: 41%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 17 15 2 0 66 13 53 47
2 Dortmund 17 10 6 1 32 15 17 36
3 RB Leipzig 16 10 2 4 32 19 13 32
4 Stuttgart 17 10 2 5 32 25 7 32
5 Hoffenheim 16 9 3 4 34 21 13 30
6 Leverkusen 16 9 2 5 34 24 10 29
7 Ein Frankfurt 17 7 5 5 35 36 -1 26
8 Freiburg 17 6 5 6 27 29 -2 23
9 Union Berlin 17 6 5 6 23 26 -3 23
10 M'gladbach 17 5 4 8 23 29 -6 19
11 Wolfsburg 17 5 3 9 26 37 -11 18
12 FC Koln 17 4 5 8 25 29 -4 17
13 Werder Bremen 16 4 5 7 18 31 -13 17
14 Hamburg 16 4 4 8 17 27 -10 16
15 Augsburg 17 4 3 10 18 33 -15 15
16 Mainz 17 2 6 9 17 29 -12 12
17 St Pauli 16 3 3 10 14 28 -14 12
18 Heidenheim 17 3 3 11 16 38 -22 12

Recent Trends

Stuttgart W W D W L

  • Last Match: W vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Leverkusen (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 0 - 5)

Union Berlin D D W W L

  • Last Match: D vs Augsburg (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Mainz (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs FC Koln (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Stuttgart

xG (avg) 1.97
xGA (avg) 1.69
Clean Sheets 2

Union Berlin

xG (avg) 1.22
xGA (avg) 0.78
Clean Sheets 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Union Berlin is predicted to tilt in favor of the home team, Stuttgart, with a 56.0% probability of victory. The likelihood of the match ending in a draw stands at 23.0%, while Union Berlin's chances of winning are pegged at 21.0%. Stuttgart, currently holding the 4th position in the league, is poised for a Champions League spot, whereas Union Berlin sits in 9th place. The game is anticipated to be a high-scoring affair, with a 52.0% probability of over 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

Stuttgart enters this fixture with a commendable run, securing two wins and a draw in their last three games. They recently triumphed against Ein Frankfurt and Leverkusen, scoring three and four goals respectively, highlighting their offensive prowess. A goalless draw against Hoffenheim further showcased their defensive capabilities, evidenced by two clean sheets in their last five matches. Advanced metrics indicate that Stuttgart has an average of 1.6 goals scored per game while conceding an average of 2.0. However, their expected goals scored (1.97) hint at potential for more clinical finishing. Union Berlin, on the other hand, has shown resilience with a win and two draws in their recent outings. A narrow victory over FC Koln and draws against Augsburg and Mainz reflect a team capable of grinding out results. Despite scoring a modest average of 0.8 goals per game in their last five matches, Union Berlin's defensive solidity is noteworthy, with only 1.0 goal conceded on average. Their expected goals conceded (0.776) suggest a robust defense that could trouble Stuttgart's attack.

Final Prediction

Stuttgart's recent form and superior offensive metrics give them an edge in this encounter. Their ability to score multiple goals, coupled with a sturdy defense, positions them as favorites. Keep an eye on Stuttgart's attacking unit, which has the potential to exploit Union Berlin's defensive setup and secure a crucial victory in their quest for a top-four finish.

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