Bundesliga 2025-2026: Union Berlin vs Heidenheim Prediction
Union Berlin
Home Team
65%
VS
Heidenheim
Away Team
16%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5:
50%
Under 2.5:
50%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 41 | 8 | 33 | 31 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | Leverkusen | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 23 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Stuttgart | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Ein Frankfurt | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Union Berlin | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 14 |
| 11 | Freiburg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | M'gladbach | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 10 |
| 14 | Hamburg | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 9 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 | St Pauli | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Mainz | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Union Berlin
- Last Match: vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs M'gladbach (Goals: 3 - 1)
Heidenheim
- Last Match: vs M'gladbach (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 0 - 6)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 2 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Union Berlin
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.71
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.52
# Clean Sheets:
2
Heidenheim
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.97
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.81
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
Union Berlin is favored to win with a 65.0% probability, reflecting their stronger position in the Bundesliga standings at 8th place compared to Heidenheim's last position. The match is predicted to have under 2.5 goals, and there is a 51.0% chance of both teams scoring. With Union Berlin's recent form and solid mid-table standing, they are well-positioned to secure a victory against Heidenheim, who faces relegation threats.
Match Analysis
Union Berlin has shown resilience in their recent performances, securing a crucial away win against St Pauli and holding league leaders Bayern Munich to a draw at home. Despite a goalless draw against Freiburg, they have demonstrated defensive solidity with two clean sheets in their last five matches. Their scoring has been steady, averaging 1.4 goals per match, and their expected goals (xG) of 1.706 suggest they create quality chances.
Heidenheim, on the other hand, is struggling at the bottom of the table. Their recent form includes heavy defeats to M'gladbach and Leverkusen and a draw against Ein Frankfurt. They have only managed to score an average of 0.4 goals per game in their last five matches, while conceding 2.8 goals per game. Their xG of 0.972 indicates a lack of potency in attack, further compounded by their inability to keep a clean sheet in recent matches.
Final Prediction
Union Berlin's consistent form and defensive capabilities give them a clear edge over Heidenheim. Their ability to secure points against tougher opponents suggests they can handle the pressure of this fixture. A key factor to watch will be Union Berlin's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities, given Heidenheim's vulnerability at the back. The home crowd will also be a significant advantage as Union Berlin looks to climb higher in the league standings.