Bundesliga 2025-2026: Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Prediction
Union Berlin
Home Team
13%
VS
RB Leipzig
Away Team
73%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5:
56%
Under 2.5:
44%
Goal:
60%
No Goal:
40%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 49 | 9 | 40 | 37 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 23 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 21 |
| 8 | FC Koln | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Freiburg | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
| 10 | M'gladbach | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 16 |
| 12 | Union Berlin | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 15 |
| 13 | Hamburg | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 11 |
| 17 | St Pauli | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 8 |
| 18 | Mainz | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Union Berlin
- Last Match: vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
RB Leipzig
- Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 6 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs M'gladbach (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Stuttgart (Goals: 3 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Union Berlin
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.28
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.95
# Clean Sheets:
2
RB Leipzig
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.82
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.24
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
In the upcoming Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and RB Leipzig, the odds heavily favor the away team, RB Leipzig, with a 73.0% probability of winning. Union Berlin, currently in 12th place, faces an uphill battle against the 2nd-placed RB Leipzig. The match is expected to be high-scoring, with a 56.0% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored.
Match Analysis
Union Berlin's recent performances have been mixed, with a solitary win against St Pauli, and losses to Wolfsburg and Heidenheim. Their defense has shown vulnerabilities, conceding six goals in their last three matches, while managing to score only three. Despite these challenges, Union Berlin has maintained two clean sheets in their last five games, indicating the potential to tighten up defensively when needed. Their recent form, however, suggests they might struggle against a high-flying Leipzig side.
RB Leipzig, on the other hand, has been impressive, particularly in their recent 6-0 demolition of Ein Frankfurt. They also secured a goalless draw against M'gladbach and a solid 2-0 win over Werder Bremen. Key metrics for Leipzig show a robust attack, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game over the last five matches, while their defense has been resolute, keeping three clean sheets. Their expected goals stats further underline their attacking efficiency, with an average of 1.818 expected goals per game.
Final Prediction
RB Leipzig's superior form and attacking prowess give them a clear edge over Union Berlin. Their ability to score prolifically and maintain defensive solidity could prove decisive. Fans should watch out for RB Leipzig's attacking movements and how Union Berlin's defense copes with the pressure. This matchup promises to be an exciting encounter, with Leipzig likely to capitalize on Union Berlin's current inconsistencies.