Bundesliga 2025-2026: Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin Prediction
Werder Bremen
Home Team
40%
VS
Union Berlin
Away Team
34%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5:
59%
Under 2.5:
41%
Goal:
63%
No Goal:
37%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 21 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | FC Koln | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Freiburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Hamburg | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Mainz | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | M'gladbach | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Werder Bremen
- Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 4th Last Match: vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs M'gladbach (Goals: 4 - 0)
Union Berlin
- Last Match: vs M'gladbach (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Hamburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 4 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 2 - 4)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Werder Bremen
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.79
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.77
# Clean Sheets:
2
Union Berlin
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.47
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.32
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Werder Bremen and Union Berlin is expected to be a closely contested affair. Werder Bremen holds a slight edge with a 40.0% probability of winning, while Union Berlin trails slightly with a 34.0% chance. The probability of a draw is 27.0%. Given the predicted result, it's likely that the match will see over 2.5 goals, with a 59.0% probability of such an outcome. Currently, Union Berlin sits 9th in the Bundesliga standings, while Werder Bremen is positioned 12th.
Match Analysis
In their recent matches, Werder Bremen has shown mixed results. They secured a crucial home victory against St Pauli, but a heavy defeat at the hands of Bayern Munich highlighted their defensive vulnerabilities. Their away draw with Heidenheim showed resilience, but their average goals conceded over the last five matches stands at 2.0, indicating potential defensive frailties. On the other hand, Union Berlin has also experienced an inconsistent run, with a notable home win against M'gladbach and a disciplined draw with Hamburg. However, their loss to Leverkusen showcased their struggle in away fixtures.
Analyzing the advanced metrics, both teams average 1.33 goals per game, but Union Berlin concedes more frequently, with an average of 2.67 goals against them in the last five matches. Werder Bremen, with a slightly better defensive record at home, could capitalize on Union Berlin's defensive lapses, as evidenced by their higher expected goals conceded (2.32).
Final Prediction
Werder Bremen appears to have a slight advantage due to their more stable defensive performances and home advantage. Union Berlin's inconsistent defense, particularly in away games, could be a significant factor in Bremen's favor. A key aspect to watch will be how Bremen manages to exploit Union Berlin's defensive weaknesses while maintaining their defensive discipline to secure a crucial win.