Bundesliga 2025-2026: Wolfsburg vs Freiburg Prediction
Wolfsburg
Home Team
48%
VS
Freiburg
Away Team
28%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5:
56%
Under 2.5:
44%
Goal:
57%
No Goal:
43%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 51 | 11 | 40 | 38 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 29 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 29 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 26 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 26 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 24 |
| 8 | Union Berlin | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
| 9 | Freiburg | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 17 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | M'gladbach | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 16 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 16 |
| 13 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
| 14 | Hamburg | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 11 |
| 18 | Mainz | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 7 |
Recent Trends
Wolfsburg
- Last Match: vs M'gladbach (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Union Berlin (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 1 - 2)
Freiburg
- Last Match: vs Dortmund (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 4 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 2 - 6)
- 5th Last Match: vs St Pauli (Goals: 2 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Wolfsburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.48
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.07
# Clean Sheets:
0
Freiburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.74
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.02
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Freiburg is tilted in favor of the home team, with a 48.0% chance of victory for Wolfsburg. Despite their current 13th place in the league standings, Wolfsburg is predicted to outperform their 9th-placed opponents, Freiburg. The probability of the match featuring over 2.5 goals is a notable 56.0%, suggesting an open and attacking game.
Match Analysis
Wolfsburg comes into this match on the back of solid form, having secured two wins and a draw in their last three outings. They triumphed over M'gladbach and Union Berlin with identical 3-1 scorelines, displaying a strong attacking presence. Their recent draw against Eintracht Frankfurt also highlighted their ability to grind out results away from home. However, their defensive frailties remain a concern, as they've not kept a clean sheet in their past five games.
On the other hand, Freiburg has had a mixed bag of results lately. They managed a commendable draw against Dortmund and a convincing 4-0 victory over Mainz, but a loss to Heidenheim exposed their vulnerabilities. Freiburg's average of 0.6 goals scored over the last five matches indicates a struggle in front of goal, though their defense has been slightly better, with one clean sheet in the same period.
Final Prediction
Wolfsburg's recent form and attacking prowess provide them with a slight edge in this encounter. With a higher probability of scoring and playing at home, they are well-positioned to capitalize on Freiburg's inconsistencies. A key factor to watch will be Wolfsburg's ability to maintain defensive solidity against Freiburg's sporadic but potentially dangerous attacking threats.