Bundesliga 2025-2026: Wolfsburg vs Union Berlin Prediction
Wolfsburg
Home Team
64%
VS
Union Berlin
Away Team
18%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5:
49%
Under 2.5:
51%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 9 | 35 | 34 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 23 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 23 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 21 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | M'gladbach | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Hamburg | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 10 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 8 |
| 17 | St Pauli | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 | Mainz | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Wolfsburg
- Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Hamburg (Goals: 1 - 0)
Union Berlin
- Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Wolfsburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.65
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.01
# Clean Sheets:
1
Union Berlin
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.73
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Wolfsburg and Union Berlin is predicted to lean in favor of the home team, Wolfsburg, with a 64.0% probability of victory. The likelihood of the match ending in a draw stands at 19.0%, while Union Berlin's chances of a win are estimated at 18.0%. In terms of goals, the game is expected to see fewer than 2.5 goals with a 49.0% probability. Currently, Wolfsburg is positioned at 15th in the Bundesliga, while Union Berlin holds the 11th spot.
Match Analysis
Wolfsburg's recent form has been less than stellar, with no wins in their last three outings. They drew against Ein Frankfurt away, but suffered home and away defeats against Leverkusen and Werder Bremen respectively. Despite their struggles, they have shown a knack for finding the back of the net, averaging 1.2 goals per game over their last five matches. However, their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game, which could be a significant concern against Union Berlin.
Union Berlin has had a mixed bag of results in their recent matches. They managed an impressive draw against league leaders Bayern Munich and secured a win against St Pauli away. However, a home defeat to Heidenheim highlighted their inconsistency. Union Berlin’s defensive resilience has been slightly better, averaging 1.8 goals conceded per game, but their attack has been less prolific, with a 1.0 goal average per match. Their ability to keep clean sheets in two out of their last five games could be pivotal against Wolfsburg's attacking threats.
Final Prediction
Wolfsburg is favored to win largely due to their home advantage and the slightly higher attacking output in recent games. Their potential to break through Union Berlin’s defense could be the deciding factor, especially if they capitalize on their expected goals advantage. A key element to watch will be whether Wolfsburg can tighten their defense to secure a much-needed win and distance themselves from the relegation zone.