Bundesliga 2025-2026: Wolfsburg vs Union Berlin Prediction - 6 Dec 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Wolfsburg

Home Team
64%
VS

Union Berlin

Away Team
18%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 12 11 1 0 44 9 35 34
2 RB Leipzig 12 8 2 2 22 13 9 26
3 Dortmund 12 7 4 1 21 11 10 25
4 Leverkusen 12 7 2 3 28 17 11 23
5 Hoffenheim 12 7 2 3 25 17 8 23
6 Stuttgart 12 7 1 4 21 17 4 22
7 Ein Frankfurt 12 6 3 3 28 23 5 21
8 Freiburg 12 4 4 4 19 20 -1 16
9 Werder Bremen 12 4 4 4 16 21 -5 16
10 FC Koln 12 4 3 5 21 20 1 15
11 Union Berlin 12 4 3 5 15 19 -4 15
12 M'gladbach 12 3 4 5 16 19 -3 13
13 Hamburg 12 3 3 6 11 18 -7 12
14 Augsburg 12 3 1 8 15 27 -12 10
15 Wolfsburg 12 2 3 7 14 22 -8 9
16 Heidenheim 12 2 2 8 10 27 -17 8
17 St Pauli 12 2 1 9 10 24 -14 7
18 Mainz 12 1 3 8 11 23 -12 6

Recent Trends

Wolfsburg D L L L W

  • Last Match: D vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Leverkusen (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Hamburg (Goals: 1 - 0)

Union Berlin L W D D L

  • Last Match: L vs Heidenheim (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Wolfsburg

xG (avg) 1.65
xGA (avg) 2.01
Clean Sheets 1

Union Berlin

xG (avg) 1.06
xGA (avg) 1.73
Clean Sheets 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Wolfsburg and Union Berlin is predicted to lean in favor of the home team, Wolfsburg, with a 64.0% probability of victory. The likelihood of the match ending in a draw stands at 19.0%, while Union Berlin's chances of a win are estimated at 18.0%. In terms of goals, the game is expected to see fewer than 2.5 goals with a 49.0% probability. Currently, Wolfsburg is positioned at 15th in the Bundesliga, while Union Berlin holds the 11th spot.

Match Analysis

Wolfsburg's recent form has been less than stellar, with no wins in their last three outings. They drew against Ein Frankfurt away, but suffered home and away defeats against Leverkusen and Werder Bremen respectively. Despite their struggles, they have shown a knack for finding the back of the net, averaging 1.2 goals per game over their last five matches. However, their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game, which could be a significant concern against Union Berlin. Union Berlin has had a mixed bag of results in their recent matches. They managed an impressive draw against league leaders Bayern Munich and secured a win against St Pauli away. However, a home defeat to Heidenheim highlighted their inconsistency. Union Berlin’s defensive resilience has been slightly better, averaging 1.8 goals conceded per game, but their attack has been less prolific, with a 1.0 goal average per match. Their ability to keep clean sheets in two out of their last five games could be pivotal against Wolfsburg's attacking threats.

Final Prediction

Wolfsburg is favored to win largely due to their home advantage and the slightly higher attacking output in recent games. Their potential to break through Union Berlin’s defense could be the deciding factor, especially if they capitalize on their expected goals advantage. A key element to watch will be whether Wolfsburg can tighten their defense to secure a much-needed win and distance themselves from the relegation zone.

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