Ascoli
Serie B · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #5 of 20 57.1 expected pts · currently 11 pts after 6 matches
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.
Full Serie B simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Ascoli?
Sample still small 2026-27 · 1 predicted matches
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Ascoli's results were 12.8% harder to call than the Serie B average. How this is measured.
| Market | Ascoli | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 0.0% | 40.0% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 100.0% | 70.0% |
| Both teams to score | 0.0% | 50.0% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Serie B | #7 | 1514 | 1524 | 1524 |
| 2023-24 | Serie B | #13 | 1473 | 1492 | 1481 |
| 2022-23 | Serie B | #11 | 1619 | 1639 | 1495 |
| 2021-22 | Serie B | #2 | 1548 | 1633 | 1633 |
| 2020-21 | Serie B | #7 | 1476 | 1576 | 1547 |
| 2019-20 | Serie B | #14 | 1483 | 1538 | 1462 |
| 2018-19 | Serie B | #15 | 1485 | 1520 | 1449 |
| 2017-18 | Serie B | #11 | 1482 | 1499 | 1483 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches: model vs reality
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
The Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/ascoli">Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
<iframe src="https://www.predixsport.com/embed/title-odds/serie_b"
width="360" height="430" style="border:0;border-radius:10px" loading="lazy"
title="Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings · Predixsport"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/ascoli">Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>