Sudtirol
Serie B · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #6 of 20 56.4 expected pts · currently 12 pts after 6 matches
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.
Full Serie B simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26: what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #16 of 20 in Serie B 41 pts · 8W-17D-13L · GD -10
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Serie B simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Sudtirol?
Chaos club 2025-26 · 33 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Sudtirol's results were 14.0% harder to call than the Serie B average. How this is measured.
| Market | Sudtirol | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 30.3% | 49.7% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 54.5% | 54.2% |
| Both teams to score | 51.5% | 52.7% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Serie B | #8 | 1445 | 1507 | 1505 |
| 2025-26 | Serie B | #19 | 1502 | 1561 | 1400 |
| 2024-25 | Serie B | #7 | 1506 | 1542 | 1537 |
| 2023-24 | Serie B | #12 | 1550 | 1589 | 1487 |
| 2022-23 | Serie B | #7 | 1487 | 1636 | 1565 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches: model vs reality
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
The Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/sudtirol">Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/sudtirol">Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>