Cesena
Serie B · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #15 of 20 46.4 expected pts · currently 7 pts after 6 matches
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.
Full Serie B simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26: what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #10 of 20 in Serie B 46 pts · 12W-10D-16L · GD -11
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Serie B simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Cesena?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 33 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Cesena's results were 6.2% harder to call than the Serie B average. How this is measured.
| Market | Cesena | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 42.4% | 49.7% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 54.5% | 54.2% |
| Both teams to score | 42.4% | 52.7% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Serie B | #18 | 1419 | 1456 | 1434 |
| 2025-26 | Serie B | #20 | 1533 | 1583 | 1395 |
| 2024-25 | Serie B | #6 | 1540 | 1554 | 1547 |
| 2017-18 | Serie B | #9 | 1478 | 1530 | 1530 |
| 2014-15 | Serie A | #21 | 1518 | 1518 | 1294 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches: model vs reality
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
The Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/cesena">Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
<iframe src="https://www.predixsport.com/embed/title-odds/serie_b"
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title="Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings · Predixsport"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/cesena">Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>