Sampdoria
Serie B · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #13 of 20 in Serie B 44 pts · 11W–11D–16L · GD -13
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Serie B simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Sampdoria?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 33 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Sampdoria's results were 3.5% harder to call than the Serie B average. How this is measured.
| Market | Sampdoria | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 51.5% | 49.7% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 66.7% | 54.2% |
| Both teams to score | 63.6% | 52.7% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Serie B | #12 | 1467 | 1505 | 1461 |
| 2024-25 | Serie B | #17 | 1585 | 1585 | 1475 |
| 2023-24 | Serie B | #3 | 1523 | 1600 | 1600 |
| 2022-23 | Serie A | #20 | 1467 | 1467 | 1282 |
| 2021-22 | Serie A | #16 | 1471 | 1509 | 1406 |
| 2020-21 | Serie A | #8 | 1478 | 1545 | 1516 |
| 2019-20 | Serie A | #13 | 1466 | 1518 | 1452 |
| 2018-19 | Serie A | #13 | 1482 | 1554 | 1468 |
| 2017-18 | Serie A | #12 | 1518 | 1605 | 1438 |
| 2016-17 | Serie A | #12 | 1529 | 1577 | 1477 |
| 2015-16 | Serie A | #17 | 1522 | 1538 | 1397 |
| 2014-15 | Serie A | #8 | 1502 | 1598 | 1520 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 08, 2026 | at Reggiana | W Sampdoria 37.5% · draw 31.6% | L ✗ |
| May 01, 2026 | vs Sudtirol | W Sampdoria 43.9% · draw 28.9% | W ✓ |
| Apr 25, 2026 | at Cesena | L Sampdoria 32.3% · draw 31.6% | D ✗ |
| Apr 17, 2026 | vs Monza | L Sampdoria 28.9% · draw 28.9% | L ✓ |
| Apr 11, 2026 | at Pescara | L Sampdoria 32.6% · draw 29.9% | W ✗ |
| Apr 06, 2026 | vs Empoli | W Sampdoria 38.0% · draw 31.3% | W ✓ |
| Mar 22, 2026 | vs Avellino | W Sampdoria 41.0% · draw 31.7% | W ✓ |
| Mar 18, 2026 | at Carrarese | L Sampdoria 28.4% · draw 30.2% | L ✓ |
| Mar 14, 2026 | vs Venezia | L Sampdoria 20.8% · draw 24.1% | D ✗ |
| Mar 08, 2026 | at Frosinone | L Sampdoria 20.7% · draw 25.7% | L ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/sampdoria">Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
<iframe src="https://www.predixsport.com/embed/title-odds/serie_b"
width="360" height="430" style="border:0;border-radius:10px" loading="lazy"
title="Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings — Predixsport"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/sampdoria">Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>