La Liga 2025-2026: Alaves vs Oviedo Prediction

Alaves

Home Team
74%
VS

Oviedo

Away Team
12%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%
Goal: 49%
No Goal: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 18 15 1 2 51 20 31 46
2 Real Madrid 18 13 3 2 36 16 20 42
3 Ath Madrid 18 11 4 3 33 16 17 37
4 Villarreal 16 11 2 3 31 15 16 35
5 Espanol 17 10 3 4 22 17 5 33
6 Betis 17 7 7 3 29 19 10 28
7 Celta 17 5 8 4 20 19 1 23
8 Betis 18 7 2 9 16 24 -8 23
9 Elche 17 5 7 5 23 20 3 22
10 Sevilla 17 6 2 9 24 26 -2 20
11 Getafe 17 6 2 9 13 22 -9 20
12 Osasuna 17 5 3 9 17 20 -3 18
13 Mallorca 17 4 6 7 19 24 -5 18
14 Alaves 17 5 3 9 14 20 -6 18
15 Vallecano 17 4 6 7 13 20 -7 18
16 Sociedad 17 4 5 8 21 25 -4 17
17 Valencia 17 3 7 7 16 26 -10 16
18 Girona 17 3 6 8 15 33 -18 15
19 Oviedo 17 2 5 10 7 26 -19 11
20 Levante 16 2 4 10 17 29 -12 10

Recent Trends

Alaves ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Osasuna (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 1)

Oviedo ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Sevilla (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Mallorca (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Alaves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.35
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.14
# Clean Sheets: 1

Oviedo

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.95
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.27
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Alaves and Oviedo is predicted to favor the home team, Alaves, with a substantial 74.0% probability of winning. The game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a predicted outcome of under_2_5. Currently, Alaves sits at 14th position in the La Liga standings, while Oviedo is struggling at 19th place, fighting to avoid relegation.

Match Analysis

Alaves has experienced a mixed bag of results in their last three matches. They managed a significant home victory against Sociedad with a 1-0 win, but suffered losses against top-tier teams such as Real Madrid and Osasuna. This indicates that while Alaves can hold their ground at home, they face challenges when up against stronger opponents. Their defense has been reasonably solid, evidenced by their average of 0.8 goals conceded over the last five games and maintaining one clean sheet. On the other hand, Oviedo hasn't tasted victory in their last three matches, with goalless draws against Celta and Mallorca and a heavy 4-0 defeat at the hands of Sevilla. Oviedo's defensive frailties are evident, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game over the last five matches. However, they've managed to maintain three clean sheets, hinting at some defensive resilience against less dominant teams. Their struggle to score is apparent, with just 0.948 expected goals per game, suggesting an uphill battle against Alaves.

Final Prediction

Alaves holds the advantage in this matchup, primarily due to their stronger home performance and Oviedo's struggle in front of the goal. A key factor to watch will be Alaves' ability to break through Oviedo's occasionally resolute defense. If Alaves can capitalize on their scoring opportunities, they are likely to secure a valuable win.