La Liga 2025-2026: Alaves vs Sociedad Prediction

Alaves

Home Team
33%
VS

Sociedad

Away Team
42%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 15 12 1 2 42 17 25 37
2 Real Madrid 15 11 3 1 32 13 19 36
3 Villarreal 14 10 2 2 29 13 16 32
4 Ath Madrid 15 9 4 2 28 14 14 31
5 Betis 14 6 6 2 22 14 8 24
6 Espanol 14 7 3 4 18 16 2 24
7 Getafe 14 6 2 6 13 15 -2 20
8 Betis 15 6 2 7 14 20 -6 20
9 Vallecano 14 4 5 5 13 15 -2 17
10 Sociedad 14 4 4 6 19 21 -2 16
11 Elche 14 3 7 4 15 17 -2 16
12 Celta 14 3 7 4 16 19 -3 16
13 Sevilla 14 5 1 8 19 23 -4 16
14 Alaves 14 4 3 7 12 15 -3 15
15 Valencia 14 3 5 6 13 22 -9 14
16 Mallorca 14 3 4 7 15 22 -7 13
17 Osasuna 14 3 3 8 12 18 -6 12
18 Girona 14 2 6 6 13 26 -13 12
19 Levante 14 2 3 9 16 26 -10 9
20 Oviedo 14 2 3 9 7 22 -15 9

Recent Trends

Alaves ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Girona (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 1)

Sociedad ❌ ✅ ⚪ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Osasuna (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Elche (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Alaves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.46
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.85
# Clean Sheets: 0

Sociedad

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.39
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.67
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Alaves and Sociedad is predicted to favor the away team, Sociedad, with a 42.0% chance of victory. Alaves holds a 33.0% chance of taking the win at home, while a draw is the least likely outcome at 25.0%. Additionally, the game is expected to have less than 2.5 goals, as indicated by the 46.0% probability. Currently, Sociedad sits at 10th place in La Liga, while Alaves is positioned 14th, both aiming to climb higher in the standings.

Match Analysis

Alaves will be entering this match on a troubling three-game losing streak. Their recent outings have seen them struggle offensively, scoring just one goal across matches against Barcelona, Celta, and Girona. Defensively, they haven't fared much better, conceding five goals in these fixtures. Despite a respectable average of 1.462 expected goals in their last five games, Alaves has failed to convert opportunities into results, highlighted by their lack of clean sheets. Conversely, Sociedad's recent performances have been more varied. They managed a crucial away victory against Osasuna, scoring three goals, followed by a home loss to Villarreal and a draw with Elche. Sociedad's attacking prowess is evident, averaging 1.4 goals per game in their last five matches. However, their defense has shown vulnerabilities, conceding 1.6 goals on average, which could be a concern against any attacking improvements from Alaves.

Final Prediction

Sociedad's slight edge in predicted victory can be attributed to their more consistent offensive output and higher league standing. Alaves, with their recent struggles both in attack and defense, face a tough challenge. A key factor to watch will be Sociedad's ability to capitalize on Alaves' defensive lapses, which could be decisive in determining the outcome of this encounter.