La Liga 2025-2026: Ath Bilbao vs Real Madrid Prediction

Ath Bilbao

Home Team
13%
VS

Real Madrid

Away Team
75%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%
Goal: 56%
No Goal: 44%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 14 11 1 2 39 16 23 34
2 Real Madrid 14 10 3 1 29 13 16 33
3 Villarreal 14 10 2 2 29 13 16 32
4 Ath Madrid 14 9 4 1 27 11 16 31
5 Betis 14 6 6 2 22 14 8 24
6 Espanol 14 7 3 4 18 16 2 24
7 Getafe 14 6 2 6 13 15 -2 20
8 Betis 14 6 2 6 14 17 -3 20
9 Vallecano 14 4 5 5 13 15 -2 17
10 Sociedad 14 4 4 6 19 21 -2 16
11 Elche 14 3 7 4 15 17 -2 16
12 Celta 14 3 7 4 16 19 -3 16
13 Sevilla 14 5 1 8 19 23 -4 16
14 Alaves 14 4 3 7 12 15 -3 15
15 Valencia 14 3 5 6 13 22 -9 14
16 Mallorca 14 3 4 7 15 22 -7 13
17 Osasuna 14 3 3 8 12 18 -6 12
18 Girona 14 2 6 6 13 26 -13 12
19 Levante 14 2 3 9 16 26 -10 9
20 Oviedo 14 2 3 9 7 22 -15 9

Recent Trends

Ath Bilbao ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Levante (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Oviedo (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Getafe (Goals: 0 - 1)

Real Madrid ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Elche (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Valencia (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Barcelona (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Ath Bilbao

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.53
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.47
# Clean Sheets: 2

Real Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.02
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.52
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Real Madrid is predicted to win the match against Ath Bilbao with a 75% probability. The game is expected to have over 2.5 goals with a 51% probability. Real Madrid currently sits in 2nd place in La Liga with 33 points, while Ath Bilbao's position in the standings hasn't been provided, but they are aiming to climb higher.

Match Analysis

Ath Bilbao's recent performances have shown a mix of results, including a notable victory against Levante and a solid win against Oviedo, coupled with a heavy defeat to Barcelona. Their recent form sees them averaging 0.8 goals scored and conceded per game over the last five matches, with an impressive two clean sheets. They have maintained a decent defense with an average of 0.467 goals expected to be conceded per match, demonstrating their potential to limit Real Madrid’s attack. On the other hand, Real Madrid's recent streak consists of three consecutive draws against Girona, Elche, and Vallecano. Although they have not been able to secure wins, Real Madrid has been consistent in their attack, averaging 1.2 goals per game. Despite this, their defensive efforts have seen them concede 1.6 goals on average in the last five games. Their expected goals scored average is higher at 2.022, indicating potential for a strong offensive performance against Ath Bilbao.

Final Prediction

Real Madrid holds the edge in this matchup due to their superior offensive capabilities and overall higher league standing. A key factor to watch will be Real Madrid's ability to convert their higher expected goals into actual scores, potentially overcoming Ath Bilbao’s sturdy defense. The match promises excitement with a likelihood of goals from both teams, making it a must-watch for fans.