La Liga 2025-2026: Ath Bilbao vs Sociedad Prediction - 1 Feb 2026
Result | Under-Over 2.5
Ath Bilbao
Home Team
58%
VS
Sociedad
Away Team
20%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5:
52%
Under 2.5:
48%
Goal:
57%
No Goal:
43%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 21 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 57 | 22 | 35 | 52 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 51 |
| 3 | Ath Madrid | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 44 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 41 |
| 5 | Espanol | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Betis | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 32 |
| 7 | Celta | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 32 |
| 8 | Sociedad | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 27 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
| 10 | Girona | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 25 |
| 11 | Elche | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 24 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 24 |
| 13 | Betis | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 24 |
| 14 | Valencia | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | Alaves | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 22 |
| 16 | Vallecano | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Getafe | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 22 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 21 |
| 19 | Levante | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 13 |
Recent Trends
Ath Bilbao
- Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 2)
Sociedad
- Last Match: vs Celta (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Getafe (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Levante (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Ath Bilbao
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.05
# Clean Sheets:
0
Sociedad
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.45
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.09
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Ath Bilbao and Sociedad is anticipated to lean in favor of the home team, Ath Bilbao, with a 58.0% probability of victory. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match stands at 52.0%, suggesting an attacking approach from both sides. Ath Bilbao currently sits outside the top 10, while Sociedad holds the 8th position in La Liga.
Match Analysis
Ath Bilbao comes into this fixture with a mixed bag of recent results. Their last three games haven't gone as planned, securing just a draw against Osasuna and suffering defeats to Sevilla and Mallorca. Despite these setbacks, their expected goals metric (1.368) indicates potential to score, yet they have struggled to capitalize with an average of only 0.6 goals scored per game. Defensively, they have been less solid, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match in the same period.
In contrast, Sociedad enters the match with a strong winning streak, having defeated Celta, Barcelona, and Getafe in their last three encounters. They have been consistent in front of goal, averaging 1.4 goals per game, supported by an expected goals average of 1.446. However, like their opponents, Sociedad has not maintained a clean sheet in recent matches, allowing an average of 1.0 goal per game. This implies a potential vulnerability at the back, which Ath Bilbao could exploit.
Final Prediction
Ath Bilbao's edge in this matchup could stem from their home advantage and the chance to convert their expected goals into actual ones. One key factor to watch will be whether Ath Bilbao can improve their scoring efficiency against a Sociedad side that, while in form, has shown defensive frailties. This match promises to be an intriguing battle between two sides eager to climb the league standings.
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