La Liga 2024-2025: Ath Bilbao vs Vallecano Prediction

Ath Bilbao

Home Team
85%
VS

Vallecano

Away Team
6%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 30 21 4 5 83 29 54 67
2 Real Madrid 30 19 6 5 63 31 32 63
3 Ath Madrid 30 17 9 4 49 24 25 60
4 Ath Bilbao 30 14 12 4 46 24 22 54
5 Villarreal 29 13 9 7 51 39 12 48
6 Betis 30 13 9 8 41 37 4 48
7 Celta 30 12 7 11 44 43 1 43
8 Sociedad 30 12 5 13 30 32 -2 41
9 Vallecano 30 10 10 10 33 35 -2 40
10 Mallorca 30 11 7 12 29 37 -8 40
11 Getafe 30 10 9 11 30 25 5 39
12 Sevilla 30 9 9 12 34 41 -7 36
13 Osasuna 30 7 14 9 34 43 -9 35
14 Valencia 30 8 10 12 34 47 -13 34
15 Girona 30 9 7 14 37 46 -9 34
16 Espanol 29 8 8 13 31 40 -9 32
17 Alaves 30 7 9 14 33 44 -11 30
18 Leganes 30 6 10 14 29 47 -18 28
19 Las Palmas 30 6 8 16 34 51 -17 26
20 Valladolid 30 4 4 22 19 69 -50 16

Recent Trends

Ath Bilbao ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Osasuna (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 1)

Vallecano ❌ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Ath Bilbao

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.62
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.76
# Clean Sheets: 3

Vallecano

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.28
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.54
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Athletic Bilbao is highly favored to win the upcoming fixture against Vallecano, boasting an 85% probability of securing a victory. The game is expected to be a low-scoring affair, with a 44% chance of exceeding 2.5 goals. Currently, Athletic Bilbao stands strong at 4th place in La Liga, while Vallecano is positioned at 9th.

Match Analysis

Athletic Bilbao has shown solid form in their recent fixtures, maintaining an unbeaten streak in their last three games. They achieved a vital away win against Sevilla and secured two goalless draws against Villarreal and Osasuna. Defensively robust, they have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches, conceding an average of just 0.4 goals per game. Their expected goal metrics (2.622 xG scored and 0.764 xG conceded) further underline their attacking and defensive capabilities. In contrast, Vallecano has had a mixed run recently, with a heavy home defeat to Espanyol, a win against Alaves, and a draw with Sociedad. Despite scoring an average of 1 goal per game, Vallecano's defense has been less consistent, conceding 0.8 goals per match on average. Their expected goals metrics indicate potential in attack (1.278 xG scored), but vulnerabilities in defense with 1.536 xG conceded.

Final Prediction

Athletic Bilbao's superior form and defensive solidity provide them with a significant edge in this matchup. Vallecano will need to tighten their defense to challenge Bilbao's organized play. A key factor to watch during the game will be Bilbao’s ability to capitalize on their attacking chances, potentially setting the tone for a home victory.