La Liga 2025-2026: Ath Madrid vs Valencia Prediction
Ath Madrid
Home Team
96%
VS
Valencia
Away Team
2%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5:
54%
Under 2.5:
46%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 40 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 15 | 17 | 36 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 31 |
| 5 | Espanol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 27 |
| 6 | Betis | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
| 7 | Betis | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 23 |
| 8 | Getafe | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 20 |
| 9 | Elche | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | Celta | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
| 11 | Alaves | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 18 |
| 12 | Vallecano | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 | Sociedad | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 16 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Valencia | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 14 |
| 18 | Girona | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
| 19 | Oviedo | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 10 |
| 20 | Levante | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 9 |
Recent Trends
Ath Madrid
- Last Match: vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Levante (Goals: 3 - 1)
Valencia
- Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Levante (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 4)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Ath Madrid
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.69
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.92
# Clean Sheets:
2
Valencia
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.95
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.11
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Ath Madrid and Valencia has a strong tilt towards Ath Madrid, who have a remarkable 96.0% probability of clinching a victory. This prediction is further supported by the expectation of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, with a 54.0% likelihood. Ath Madrid currently sits in 4th place in La Liga, whereas Valencia is struggling in 16th place, just above the relegation zone.
Match Analysis
Ath Madrid's recent form has been a mixed bag, with a narrow away loss to Ath Bilbao and a more comprehensive defeat at the hands of Barcelona. However, they bounced back with a solid home win against Oviedo, scoring twice without conceding. Their advanced metrics show a solid offensive output, averaging 2.8 goals per game in their last five matches, while maintaining a strong defense with an average of only 0.6 goals conceded per game.
Valencia, on the other hand, has had a somewhat underwhelming run, drawing their last two matches against Sevilla and Vallecano, and securing a narrow win over bottom-placed Levante. The team has struggled to find the back of the net, averaging only 0.8 goals per game in their last five outings, while conceding an average of 1.8 goals. Their defensive vulnerabilities could be a significant factor against Ath Madrid's potent attack.
Final Prediction
Ath Madrid appears to have a decisive edge in this matchup, primarily due to their superior attacking prowess and defensive stability. Valencia's current form and defensive frailties could be exploited by the home team. One key factor to watch will be Ath Madrid’s ability to capitalize on their goal-scoring opportunities, which has been a strength in recent performances.