La Liga 2025-2026: Barcelona vs Ath Bilbao Prediction
Barcelona
Home Team
92%
VS
Ath Bilbao
Away Team
3%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5:
60%
Under 2.5:
40%
Goal:
58%
No Goal:
42%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 31 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 15 | 17 | 28 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 25 |
| 5 | Betis | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Espanol | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 | Betis | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | Getafe | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | Sevilla | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Alaves | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Elche | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 13 | Celta | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 | Sociedad | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 10 |
| 18 | Girona | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 10 |
| 19 | Levante | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 9 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 8 |
Recent Trends
Barcelona
- Last Match: vs Celta (Goals: 4 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Girona (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 4)
Ath Bilbao
- Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Getafe (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Barcelona
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.93
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.71
# Clean Sheets:
0
Ath Bilbao
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.91
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.45
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Barcelona and Ath Bilbao is heavily tilted in favor of the home team, with a commanding 92.0% probability for a Barcelona victory. The match is predicted to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 60.0% probability, suggesting a high-scoring affair. Barcelona currently sits in second place in La Liga, while Ath Bilbao is not in the top 10, reflecting the disparity between the two teams.
Match Analysis
In recent performances, Barcelona has displayed formidable form, securing two wins in their last three outings, including a 4-2 victory away against Celta and a 3-1 triumph at home over Elche. Their only blemish was a narrow 2-1 defeat to league leaders Real Madrid. Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident, averaging 3.2 goals per game over their last five matches, with an expected goals metric of 2.932, highlighting their offensive efficiency.
Conversely, Ath Bilbao has struggled to find consistency, winning just one of their last three matches—a tight 1-0 victory against Oviedo. They suffered defeats against Sociedad and Getafe, conceding four goals across those fixtures. With a modest average of 0.8 goals scored per game and 1.4 conceded, their defensive frailties could be a significant concern against a potent Barcelona attack.
Final Prediction
Barcelona's superior attacking metrics and recent form give them a significant edge over Ath Bilbao. Their ability to consistently find the back of the net, coupled with their high probability of winning, underscores their dominance. A key factor to watch will be Barcelona's ability to maintain their attacking rhythm and capitalize on Ath Bilbao's defensive vulnerabilities, which could lead to a decisive victory for the home side.