La Liga 2025-2026: Barcelona vs Mallorca Prediction - 7 Feb 2026
Result | Under-Over 2.5
Barcelona
Home Team
98%
VS
Mallorca
Away Team
1%
Draw: 1%
Over 2.5:
71%
Under 2.5:
29%
Goal:
60%
No Goal:
40%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 22 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 60 | 23 | 37 | 55 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 18 | 29 | 54 |
| 3 | Ath Madrid | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 45 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 42 |
| 5 | Betis | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 35 |
| 6 | Espanol | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 34 |
| 7 | Celta | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 33 |
| 8 | Sociedad | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 26 |
| 10 | Alaves | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 25 |
| 11 | Betis | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 25 |
| 12 | Girona | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 25 |
| 13 | Elche | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 24 |
| 14 | Mallorca | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 24 |
| 16 | Valencia | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 23 |
| 17 | Getafe | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 23 |
| 18 | Vallecano | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 22 |
| 19 | Levante | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 18 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 16 |
Recent Trends
Barcelona
- Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Villarreal (Goals: 2 - 0)
Mallorca
- Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Barcelona
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.61
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.04
# Clean Sheets:
3
Mallorca
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.73
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.98
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
Barcelona are strong favourites at home, with a huge 98.0% win probability against 14th‑placed Mallorca, who are given just 1.0% along with a 1.0% chance of a draw. The game is also expected to be open and attacking, with a 71.0% chance of over 2.5 goals. League‑leading Barça (1st) should have the quality to turn this into a high‑scoring home victory.
Match Analysis
Barcelona come in as league leaders with 18 wins from 22, and their recent form largely backs that up: wins over Elche (3–1 away) and Oviedo (3–0 at home) were only interrupted by a narrow 2–1 defeat at Sociedad. The advanced numbers are dominant: they’ve averaged 3.0 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded across their last five games, with 2.608 expected goals created and only 1.042 allowed per match, plus three clean sheets. That points to a side attacking with confidence while staying tight at the back.
Mallorca, down in 14th with 24 points, are more up-and-down. They’ve shown they can hurt teams at home with a 4–1 win over Sevilla and a 3–2 victory against Athletic Bilbao, but were comfortably beaten 3–0 away to Atlético Madrid. Their recent averages underline the gap to Barça: only 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game over the last five, with 0.726 expected goals for and 1.976 against, and no clean sheets in that spell. That suggests they struggle to create consistently and are regularly put under pressure.
Final Prediction
Barcelona’s superior attacking output, defensive solidity, and league-leading position give them a clear edge, especially at home. With over 2.5 goals favoured, the key factor to watch will be how Mallorca’s vulnerable back line copes with Barça’s relentless attacking rhythm over 90 minutes.
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