La Liga 2025-2026: Barcelona vs Osasuna Prediction

Barcelona

Home Team
95%
VS

Osasuna

Away Team
2%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5: 66%
Under 2.5: 34%
Goal: 56%
No Goal: 44%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 16 13 1 2 47 20 27 40
2 Real Madrid 16 11 3 2 32 15 17 36
3 Villarreal 15 11 2 2 31 13 18 35
4 Ath Madrid 16 9 4 3 28 15 13 31
5 Espanol 15 8 3 4 19 16 3 27
6 Betis 15 6 6 3 25 19 6 24
7 Betis 16 7 2 7 15 20 -5 23
8 Getafe 15 6 2 7 13 17 -4 20
9 Elche 15 4 7 4 18 17 1 19
10 Celta 15 4 7 4 18 19 -1 19
11 Alaves 15 5 3 7 13 15 -2 18
12 Vallecano 15 4 5 6 13 16 -3 17
13 Sevilla 15 5 2 8 20 24 -4 17
14 Sociedad 15 4 4 7 19 22 -3 16
15 Osasuna 15 4 3 8 14 18 -4 15
16 Valencia 15 3 6 6 14 23 -9 15
17 Mallorca 15 3 5 7 15 22 -7 14
18 Girona 15 2 6 7 13 29 -16 12
19 Oviedo 15 2 4 9 7 22 -15 10
20 Levante 15 2 3 10 16 28 -12 9

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Barcelona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.71
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.35
# Clean Sheets: 1

Osasuna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.85
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.30
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Barcelona is predicted to emerge as the dominant force in their clash against Osasuna, with an overwhelming 95.0% probability of victory. This anticipated triumph is supported by the likelihood of the match featuring over 2.5 goals, set at 66.0%. Currently, Barcelona sits at the top of the La Liga standings, showcasing their prowess with 40 points, while Osasuna finds themselves in a challenging position at 15th place with 15 points.

Match Analysis

In recent outings, Barcelona has been in scintillating form, securing comprehensive wins in their last three encounters. They convincingly defeated Betis with a 5-3 scoreline and followed up with impressive victories against Ath Madrid and Alaves, both with 3-1 margins. This scoring spree highlights Barcelona's attacking might, averaging 3.0 goals per game in their last five matches, while maintaining a sturdy defense with an average of only 0.8 goals conceded. Their expected goals (xG) metrics further underline their offensive capabilities, with a noteworthy 2.706 expected goals scored per game. On the other hand, Osasuna's recent performances have been less consistent. They managed a win against Levante, but shared the spoils with Mallorca and suffered a defeat to Sociedad. Despite these mixed results, Osasuna has shown resilience, keeping two clean sheets in their last five matches. Their goal-scoring, however, has been less prolific, averaging just 0.4 goals per game, which could pose a challenge against a high-flying Barcelona side.

Final Prediction

Barcelona's current form and statistical superiority give them a significant edge over Osasuna. Their offensive firepower, coupled with a solid defense, positions them as clear favorites in this fixture. A key factor to watch will be Barcelona's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities, potentially leading to another high-scoring affair. Football fans should keep an eye on Barcelona's attacking flair, which could be the decisive factor in securing all three points.