La Liga 2025-2026: Elche vs Ath Bilbao Prediction
Elche
Home Team
28%
VS
Ath Bilbao
Away Team
50%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5:
49%
Under 2.5:
51%
Goal:
55%
No Goal:
45%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Betis | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Ath Madrid | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Elche | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Betis | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Espanol | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Getafe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Levante | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Valencia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Celta | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Oviedo | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Girona | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 6 |
| 19 | Sociedad | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 | Mallorca | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Elche
- Last Match: vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Celta (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 2 - 2)
Ath Bilbao
- Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Alaves (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Elche
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.01
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.12
# Clean Sheets:
1
Ath Bilbao
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.53
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Elche and Athletic Bilbao sees the visiting team favored to win, with a 50% probability. Elche has a 28% chance of securing a home victory, while there's a 22% likelihood of a draw. Currently, Elche sits in 7th place in La Liga, while Athletic Bilbao's standings aren't explicitly mentioned in the provided data, but their recent form suggests they are struggling to keep pace with the top teams. The prediction leans towards a result with under 2.5 goals, with a probability of 49%.
Match Analysis
Elche's recent performances have been a mixed bag. They suffered a 3-1 loss away to Alaves, managed a 2-1 home victory against Celta, and settled for a 1-1 draw away at Osasuna. Over the last five games, Elche has averaged 1.5 goals per game while maintaining a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.5 on average. This defensive resilience, combined with their expected goals statistics, indicates they can create chances but need to capitalize better.
Athletic Bilbao, on the other hand, has experienced some inconsistency. They secured a 2-1 home win over Mallorca but lost 0-1 away to Villarreal and drew 1-1 with Girona. Their goal-scoring form has been lackluster, with an average of 0.67 goals per game over the last five matches. Furthermore, they have struggled defensively, conceding 1.33 goals on average and failing to secure a clean sheet during this period. The advanced metrics highlight a need for Bilbao to tighten their defense and increase their goal-scoring opportunities.
Final Prediction
Given Athletic Bilbao's statistical edge in the predicted outcome, their chances of securing an away victory seem plausible, largely due to Elche's inconsistent form. However, Elche's strong defensive metrics could pose a challenge. Keep an eye on Elche's ability to thwart Bilbao's attack, which may be pivotal in determining the game's outcome.