La Liga 2025-2026: Elche vs Sevilla Prediction

Elche

Home Team
64%
VS

Sevilla

Away Team
17%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 19 16 1 2 53 20 33 49
2 Real Madrid 19 14 3 2 41 17 24 45
3 Villarreal 18 13 2 3 37 17 20 41
4 Ath Madrid 19 11 5 3 34 17 17 38
5 Espanol 19 10 4 5 23 20 3 34
6 Betis 19 7 8 4 31 25 6 29
7 Celta 19 7 8 4 25 20 5 29
8 Betis 19 7 3 9 17 25 -8 24
9 Elche 19 5 8 6 25 24 1 23
10 Vallecano 19 5 7 7 16 22 -6 22
11 Sociedad 19 5 6 8 24 27 -3 21
12 Getafe 19 6 3 10 15 25 -10 21
13 Girona 19 5 6 8 18 34 -16 21
14 Sevilla 19 6 2 11 24 30 -6 20
15 Osasuna 19 5 4 10 18 22 -4 19
16 Alaves 19 5 4 10 16 24 -8 19
17 Mallorca 19 4 6 9 21 28 -7 18
18 Valencia 19 3 8 8 18 31 -13 17
19 Levante 18 3 5 10 21 30 -9 14
20 Oviedo 19 2 7 10 9 28 -19 13

Recent Trends

Elche ⚪ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Vallecano (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 3 - 0)

Sevilla ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Celta (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Levante (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Oviedo (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Elche

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.84
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.98
# Clean Sheets: 2

Sevilla

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.92
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.21
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Elche is tipped to triumph over Sevilla with a 64.0% probability, indicating a strong likelihood for the home side to clinch the victory. The match is also projected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a probability of 49.0% for over 2.5 goals, suggesting a tight contest. Elche stands at 9th position in La Liga, while Sevilla is struggling at 14th, hinting at contrasting fortunes for the two teams.

Match Analysis

Elche has shown a mixed bag of performances in their recent outings. They managed a solid 1-1 draw against Valencia and secured an emphatic 4-0 victory over Vallecano, though they stumbled with a 1-3 home defeat to Villarreal. Their recent form suggests a capable defense, with two clean sheets in their last five matches. Elche's average of 2.2 goals scored per game in this period, coupled with an expected goals figure of 1.84, indicates a potent attack that could trouble Sevilla. Conversely, Sevilla is in a slump, having lost their last three matches without scoring a single goal. Their defeats to Celta, Levante, and Real Madrid highlight a worrying trend, with an average of 2.0 goals conceded per game in their last five. Their expected goals scored, a modest 0.916, underscores their current struggles in front of goal. With only one clean sheet in their last five games, Sevilla's defense remains a significant concern.

Final Prediction

Elche's superior recent form and attacking prowess provide them an edge over a Sevilla side grappling with defensive frailties and scoring woes. A key factor to watch in this encounter will be Elche's ability to capitalize on Sevilla's defensive vulnerabilities, potentially steering the game in their favor. As the two teams clash, Elche's home advantage and recent performances could play a pivotal role in determining the outcome.