La Liga 2025-2026: Elche vs Villarreal Prediction

Elche

Home Team
30%
VS

Villarreal

Away Team
48%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 18 15 1 2 51 20 31 46
2 Real Madrid 18 13 3 2 36 16 20 42
3 Ath Madrid 18 11 4 3 33 16 17 37
4 Villarreal 16 11 2 3 31 15 16 35
5 Espanol 17 10 3 4 22 17 5 33
6 Betis 17 7 7 3 29 19 10 28
7 Celta 17 5 8 4 20 19 1 23
8 Betis 18 7 2 9 16 24 -8 23
9 Elche 17 5 7 5 23 20 3 22
10 Sevilla 17 6 2 9 24 26 -2 20
11 Getafe 17 6 2 9 13 22 -9 20
12 Osasuna 17 5 3 9 17 20 -3 18
13 Mallorca 17 4 6 7 19 24 -5 18
14 Alaves 17 5 3 9 14 20 -6 18
15 Vallecano 17 4 6 7 13 20 -7 18
16 Sociedad 17 4 5 8 21 25 -4 17
17 Valencia 17 3 7 7 16 26 -10 16
18 Girona 17 3 6 8 15 33 -18 15
19 Oviedo 17 2 5 10 7 26 -19 11
20 Levante 16 2 4 10 17 29 -12 10

Recent Trends

Elche ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Vallecano (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Girona (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Getafe (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 2 - 2)

Villarreal ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Elche

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.70
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.50
# Clean Sheets: 2

Villarreal

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.82
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.53
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming La Liga clash between Elche and Villarreal, the prediction leans towards an away victory for Villarreal with a 48.0% probability. The match is also expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, supported by a 47.0% chance of this outcome. Villarreal currently holds a strong position in the league standings at 4th place, while Elche sits in 9th, indicating a potential disparity in form and performance.

Match Analysis

Elche enters this match with mixed results from their recent performances. They secured a comfortable 4-0 win against Vallecano and another solid 3-0 victory over Girona, both at home, showcasing their ability to perform well on familiar turf. However, their away form has been less impressive, as highlighted by a 3-1 defeat to Mallorca. Elche's recent games reveal an average of 2.0 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per match, indicating a relatively strong defensive setup at home. Villarreal, on the other hand, have displayed consistent form with two wins out of their last three matches. A 2-0 victory over Getafe and a 3-2 away win against Sociedad underline their attacking prowess, despite a recent 2-0 loss to league leaders Barcelona. Villarreal's statistics indicate they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, with clean sheets in two of their last five matches, reflecting a balanced approach in both attack and defense.

Final Prediction

Villarreal's edge in this matchup can be attributed to their higher league standing and consistent recent performances. Their ability to manage both home and away games effectively gives them a slight advantage over Elche. A key factor to watch during the game will be Villarreal's ability to break down Elche's defense, which has shown resilience in recent outings, especially at home.