La Liga 2025-2026: Espanol vs Alaves Prediction - 30 Jan 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Espanol

Home Team
70%
VS

Alaves

Away Team
14%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 21 17 1 3 57 22 35 52
2 Real Madrid 21 16 3 2 45 17 28 51
3 Ath Madrid 21 13 5 3 38 17 21 44
4 Villarreal 20 13 2 5 37 21 16 41
5 Espanol 21 10 4 7 25 25 0 34
6 Betis 21 8 8 5 34 27 7 32
7 Celta 21 8 8 5 29 23 6 32
8 Sociedad 21 7 6 8 29 29 0 27
9 Osasuna 21 7 4 10 24 25 -1 25
10 Girona 21 6 7 8 21 35 -14 25
11 Elche 21 5 9 7 29 29 0 24
12 Sevilla 21 7 3 11 28 33 -5 24
13 Betis 21 7 3 11 20 30 -10 24
14 Valencia 21 5 8 8 22 33 -11 23
15 Alaves 21 6 4 11 18 26 -8 22
16 Vallecano 21 5 7 9 17 28 -11 22
17 Getafe 21 6 4 11 16 27 -11 22
18 Mallorca 21 5 6 10 24 33 -9 21
19 Levante 20 4 5 11 24 34 -10 17
20 Oviedo 21 2 7 12 11 34 -23 13

Recent Trends

Espanol L L D L W

  • Last Match: L vs Valencia (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Girona (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Levante (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 2 - 1)

Alaves W L L D L

  • Last Match: W vs Betis (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Oviedo (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Osasuna (Goals: 0 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Espanol

xG (avg) 1.26
xGA (avg) 1.66
Clean Sheets 0

Alaves

xG (avg) 1.37
xGA (avg) 1.86
Clean Sheets 0

Key Prediction Insights

Espanol is predicted to win their upcoming match against Alaves, with a strong 70% probability of a home victory. The game is also expected to feature more than 2.5 goals, with a 51% probability of this outcome. Currently, Espanol sits comfortably in the 5th position in La Liga, whereas Alaves finds themselves in a challenging 15th spot.

Match Analysis

Espanol has encountered a rough patch in their last three games, managing only a draw against Levante, while suffering losses to Valencia and Girona. Despite this downturn, they remain in a competitive position in the league. Their scoring has been sparse, with an average of just 0.6 goals per game over the last five matches, while conceding 1.4 goals on average. However, their expected goals (xG) metric suggests they could have scored 1.26 goals per game, indicating potential for improvement. On the other hand, Alaves recently secured a win against Betis, but their form has generally been poor with losses to Atletico Madrid and Villarreal. Their attacking prowess has been limited, with an average of 0.4 goals per game in the last five, while defensively they have struggled, conceding an average of 2.2 goals. Their xG of 1.374 suggests they are creating chances but failing to convert them, which could be crucial against a team like Espanol.

Final Prediction

Espanol's edge comes from their higher league standing and the stronger home win probability. Despite recent setbacks, their underlying metrics indicate a potential to rebound offensively. A key factor to watch will be Espanol's ability to capitalize on their chances, as Alaves have shown vulnerability in defense, which could tilt the match in favor of the home side.

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