La Liga 2025-2026: Espanol vs Elche Prediction
Espanol
Home Team
68%
VS
Elche
Away Team
15%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5:
47%
Under 2.5:
53%
Goal:
57%
No Goal:
43%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Betis | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 16 |
| 6 | Espanol | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Elche | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Betis | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Alaves | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Vallecano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
| 12 | Getafe | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Valencia | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Levante | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Mallorca | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Celta | 9 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Sociedad | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
| 19 | Oviedo | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 6 |
| 20 | Girona | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Espanol
- Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Girona (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 2)
Elche
- Last Match: vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Celta (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Osasuna (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 1 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Espanol
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.17
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.43
# Clean Sheets:
2
Elche
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.70
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.51
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Espanyol and Elche is expected to lean in favor of the home side, Espanyol, with a winning probability of 68.0%. Currently sitting in 6th place in La Liga, Espanyol's home advantage and recent form make them the favorites against 7th placed Elche, who have a 15.0% chance of winning. Additionally, the game is anticipated to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a probability of 47.0% for this scenario, hinting at a low-scoring encounter.
Match Analysis
Espanyol enters this match with a mixed bag of recent results. They secured a solid away victory against Oviedo, winning 2-0, but faced a setback at home with a 1-2 loss to Betis. A goalless draw against Girona highlights their inconsistent scoring ability. Across their last five matches, Espanyol has averaged 1.8 goals per game while conceding 1.4, with an expected goals metric of 2.168, indicating they are creating substantial scoring opportunities.
Elche, on the other hand, mirrored Espanyol's inconsistency in recent performances. They managed a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Celta but followed that up with a disappointing 1-3 loss to Alaves. A scoreless draw against Athletic Bilbao suggests defensive resilience. Elche has averaged 1.25 goals per game and conceded 1.75 in their last five, with lower expected goals metrics (0.7) indicating fewer chances created.
Final Prediction
Espanyol's predicted edge lies in their ability to create more scoring opportunities, as reflected in their higher expected goals compared to Elche. When combined with their home advantage and Elche's defensive vulnerabilities, Espanyol appears well-positioned to secure a win. A key factor to watch will be Espanyol's ability to convert their chances, as this could determine the match's outcome in what is likely to be a closely contested game.