La Liga 2025-2026: Espanol vs Girona Prediction

Espanol

Home Team
63%
VS

Girona

Away Team
18%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%
Goal: 51%
No Goal: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 19 16 1 2 53 20 33 49
2 Real Madrid 19 14 3 2 41 17 24 45
3 Villarreal 18 13 2 3 37 17 20 41
4 Ath Madrid 19 11 5 3 34 17 17 38
5 Espanol 19 10 4 5 23 20 3 34
6 Betis 19 7 8 4 31 25 6 29
7 Celta 19 7 8 4 25 20 5 29
8 Betis 19 7 3 9 17 25 -8 24
9 Elche 19 5 8 6 25 24 1 23
10 Vallecano 19 5 7 7 16 22 -6 22
11 Sociedad 19 5 6 8 24 27 -3 21
12 Getafe 19 6 3 10 15 25 -10 21
13 Girona 19 5 6 8 18 34 -16 21
14 Sevilla 19 6 2 11 24 30 -6 20
15 Osasuna 19 5 4 10 18 22 -4 19
16 Alaves 19 5 4 10 16 24 -8 19
17 Mallorca 19 4 6 9 21 28 -7 18
18 Valencia 19 3 8 8 18 31 -13 17
19 Levante 18 3 5 10 21 30 -9 14
20 Oviedo 19 2 7 10 9 28 -19 13

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Espanol

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.35
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.52
# Clean Sheets: 2

Girona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.29
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.42
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Espanyol is predicted to secure a victory over Girona with a 63.0% probability of winning. The game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 49.0% probability of this outcome. Currently, Espanyol is in 5th place, while Girona sits at 13th on the league table, reflecting a significant gap between the two teams in terms of performance this season.

Match Analysis

Espanyol's recent form has been mixed with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three matches. They managed a hard-fought 2-1 victory against Athletic Bilbao away from home, which showcased their ability to perform under pressure. However, their home loss to Barcelona and draw against Levante indicate some inconsistency. Notably, Espanyol has maintained two clean sheets in their last five games, highlighting their defensive resilience. On the other hand, Girona has shown improvement with two wins in their last three outings, defeating Osasuna and Mallorca. Despite this uptick in form, they suffered a heavy 3-0 defeat at the hands of Atletico Madrid, which could affect their confidence. Girona's recent matches suggest a vulnerability in defense, as they have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game over their last five matches. However, they have been slightly more prolific in attack than Espanyol, scoring 1.2 goals on average.

Final Prediction

Espanyol's higher league standing and home advantage give them an edge in this encounter. Their ability to keep clean sheets will be crucial against Girona's relatively shaky defense. A key factor to watch will be Espanyol's ability to capitalize on Girona's defensive lapses, which could be the decisive element in securing the win.