La Liga 2025-2026: Espanol vs Vallecano Prediction

Espanol

Home Team
50%
VS

Vallecano

Away Team
25%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 15 12 1 2 42 17 25 37
2 Real Madrid 15 11 3 1 32 13 19 36
3 Villarreal 14 10 2 2 29 13 16 32
4 Ath Madrid 15 9 4 2 28 14 14 31
5 Betis 14 6 6 2 22 14 8 24
6 Espanol 14 7 3 4 18 16 2 24
7 Getafe 14 6 2 6 13 15 -2 20
8 Betis 15 6 2 7 14 20 -6 20
9 Vallecano 14 4 5 5 13 15 -2 17
10 Sociedad 14 4 4 6 19 21 -2 16
11 Elche 14 3 7 4 15 17 -2 16
12 Celta 14 3 7 4 16 19 -3 16
13 Sevilla 14 5 1 8 19 23 -4 16
14 Alaves 14 4 3 7 12 15 -3 15
15 Valencia 14 3 5 6 13 22 -9 14
16 Mallorca 14 3 4 7 15 22 -7 13
17 Osasuna 14 3 3 8 12 18 -6 12
18 Girona 14 2 6 6 13 26 -13 12
19 Levante 14 2 3 9 16 26 -10 9
20 Oviedo 14 2 3 9 7 22 -15 9

Recent Trends

Espanol ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Sevilla (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Elche (Goals: 1 - 0)

Vallecano ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Oviedo (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Espanol

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.75
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.37
# Clean Sheets: 2

Vallecano

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.97
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Espanol and Vallecano is expected to tilt in favor of the home team, with Espanol holding a 50% probability of securing a victory. Vallecano, on the other hand, has a 25% chance of winning, while the likelihood of a draw stands at 24%. Currently, Espanol is positioned 6th in the La Liga standings, showcasing a stronger season compared to Vallecano, who are placed 9th. The match is predicted to be a low-scoring affair, with a probability of under 2.5 goals at 48%.

Match Analysis

Espanol's recent form has been relatively positive, with two wins in their last three encounters. They triumphed over Celta in an away game and squeezed out a narrow victory against Sevilla at home, although they did suffer a defeat to Villarreal. Their performances have been characterized by a solid defensive display, managing two clean sheets in their last five matches. Their average goals scored and conceded have been 1.2 and 1.4, respectively, with expected goals indicating potential for slightly higher scoring. Vallecano, meanwhile, has been on a drawing streak, sharing points in their last three matches against Valencia, Oviedo, and a commendable stalemate with Real Madrid. Despite their draws, Vallecano's defense has shown resilience with three clean sheets in their last five outings. They have mirrored Espanol's average scoring and conceding rates at 1.2 and 1.4, respectively, but their expected goals conceded suggest vulnerabilities at the back, which Espanol might exploit.

Final Prediction

Espanol seems to have the upper hand coming into this fixture, largely due to their recent winning form and home advantage. Their solid defense and the slight edge in offensive capabilities provide a strong foundation for their predicted victory. A key factor to watch in this game will be Espanol's ability to capitalize on Vallecano's defensive lapses, which could be crucial in determining the outcome.