La Liga 2025-2026: Espanol vs Villarreal Prediction

Espanol

Home Team
43%
VS

Villarreal

Away Team
31%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5: 52%
Under 2.5: 48%
Goal: 58%
No Goal: 42%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 11 10 0 1 26 10 16 30
2 Barcelona 11 8 1 2 28 13 15 25
3 Villarreal 11 7 2 2 22 10 12 23
4 Ath Madrid 11 6 4 1 21 10 11 22
5 Betis 11 5 4 2 18 12 6 19
6 Espanol 11 5 3 3 15 13 2 18
7 Getafe 11 5 2 4 12 13 -1 17
8 Alaves 11 4 3 4 11 10 1 15
9 Elche 11 3 5 3 12 13 -1 14
10 Vallecano 11 4 2 5 12 14 -2 14
11 Betis 11 4 2 5 11 13 -2 14
12 Celta 11 2 7 2 13 14 -1 13
13 Sevilla 11 4 1 6 17 19 -2 13
14 Sociedad 11 3 3 5 13 16 -3 12
15 Osasuna 11 3 2 6 9 12 -3 11
16 Levante 11 2 3 6 15 20 -5 9
17 Mallorca 11 2 3 6 11 18 -7 9
18 Valencia 11 2 3 6 10 20 -10 9
19 Oviedo 11 2 2 7 7 19 -12 8
20 Girona 11 1 4 6 10 24 -14 7

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Espanol

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.22
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.39
# Clean Sheets: 3

Villarreal

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.53
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.64
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Espanol and Villarreal is predicted to favor the home side, with a 43.0% probability of Espanol securing victory. The likelihood of an away win stands at 31.0%, while a draw is less likely, with a 26.0% probability. Currently, Espanol sits in 6th place in La Liga, while Villarreal is positioned higher, in 3rd place. The match is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with a 52.0% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored.

Match Analysis

Espanol has shown a mixed bag of performances in their last three games, with two victories and a loss. They managed to secure a 1-0 win against Elche at home and a 2-0 away win over Oviedo, demonstrating solid defensive capabilities with two clean sheets. However, a 2-1 loss against Alaves indicates some vulnerability when playing away. Key advanced metrics reveal Espanol's attacking potential, with an average of 1.6 goals scored per game and 2.224 expected goals over the last five matches, suggesting they might pose a significant threat to Villarreal's defense. On the other hand, Villarreal comes into this match with momentum, having remained unbeaten in their last three encounters. They convincingly defeated Vallecano 4-0 at home and managed a 2-0 victory against Valencia away. Although they drew 2-2 with Betis, their ability to score, averaging 1.2 goals per game in the last five matches, cannot be underestimated. Villarreal's defense, however, has shown some fragility, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game, which could be an area Espanol aims to exploit.

Final Prediction

Espanol is favored to win this match due to their recent solid home performance and superior attacking metrics. Their ability to keep clean sheets could be decisive against a Villarreal side that has shown defensive vulnerabilities. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Espanol capitalizes on their scoring opportunities against a Villarreal defense that has been prone to conceding goals.