La Liga 2025-2026: Getafe vs Elche Prediction

Getafe

Home Team
67%
VS

Elche

Away Team
16%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 13 10 2 1 28 12 16 32
2 Barcelona 13 10 1 2 36 15 21 31
3 Villarreal 13 9 2 2 26 11 15 29
4 Ath Madrid 13 8 4 1 25 11 14 28
5 Betis 13 5 6 2 20 14 6 21
6 Espanol 13 6 3 4 17 16 1 21
7 Getafe 13 5 2 6 12 15 -3 17
8 Betis 13 5 2 6 12 17 -5 17
9 Sociedad 13 4 4 5 17 18 -1 16
10 Elche 13 3 7 3 15 16 -1 16
11 Sevilla 13 5 1 7 19 21 -2 16
12 Celta 13 3 7 3 16 18 -2 16
13 Vallecano 13 4 4 5 12 14 -2 16
14 Alaves 13 4 3 6 11 12 -1 15
15 Valencia 13 3 4 6 12 21 -9 13
16 Mallorca 13 3 3 7 13 20 -7 12
17 Osasuna 13 3 2 8 10 16 -6 11
18 Girona 13 2 5 6 12 25 -13 11
19 Levante 13 2 3 8 16 24 -8 9
20 Oviedo 13 2 3 8 7 20 -13 9

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Getafe

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.53
# Clean Sheets: 1

Elche

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.83
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.78
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Getafe and Elche is predicted to favor the home side, Getafe, with a 67.0% probability of victory. A draw holds an 18.0% chance, while Elche's chances of snatching a win stand at 16.0%. The match is expected to feature less than 2.5 goals, as indicated by a 45.0% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored. Currently, Getafe is in 7th place in La Liga, while Elche sits at 10th, making this an intriguing mid-table encounter.

Match Analysis

In their last three outings, Getafe's form has been patchy, with a win against Girona (2-1) and two narrow defeats to Atletico Madrid and Mallorca, both ending 1-0. The team seems to struggle offensively, averaging just 0.8 goals per game over their last five matches, though they have managed to maintain a relatively solid defense, conceding an average of 1.0 goals. Their expected goals (xG) figures suggest a slight underperformance in attack and a tendency to allow more quality chances than the scorelines have suggested. Elche, on the other hand, has shown resilience with two consecutive draws against Real Madrid and Real Sociedad, before succumbing to a 3-1 defeat at Barcelona. They average 1.0 goals per game, with a concerning defensive record of 2.0 goals conceded per match over their last five. Their expected goals against (xGA) is notably higher, indicating a vulnerability at the back that Getafe might exploit.

Final Prediction

Getafe's edge in this matchup largely stems from their stronger defensive setup and their home advantage. While both teams have struggled in front of goal, Getafe's ability to keep games tight could prove decisive. A key factor to watch will be how Getafe capitalizes on Elche's defensive lapses, potentially turning the tide in their favor.