La Liga 2025-2026: Getafe vs Valencia Prediction
Getafe
Home Team
35%
VS
Valencia
Away Team
41%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5:
41%
Under 2.5:
59%
Goal:
51%
No Goal:
49%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 19 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 53 | 20 | 33 | 49 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 41 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 38 |
| 5 | Espanol | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | Betis | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | Celta | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 29 |
| 8 | Betis | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 24 |
| 9 | Elche | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 23 |
| 10 | Vallecano | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 22 |
| 11 | Sociedad | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 21 |
| 12 | Getafe | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 21 |
| 13 | Girona | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 21 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 19 |
| 16 | Alaves | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 18 |
| 18 | Valencia | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 17 |
| 19 | Levante | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 14 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 28 | -19 | 13 |
Recent Trends
Getafe
- Last Match: vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Betis (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 4th Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 2)
Valencia
- Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Getafe
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.77
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.10
# Clean Sheets:
0
Valencia
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.91
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.15
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Getafe and Valencia is expected to be closely contested, with Valencia having a slight edge with a 41.0% probability of victory compared to Getafe's 35.0%. The likelihood of the match ending in a draw sits at 24.0%. Both teams are currently navigating through challenging seasons, with Getafe positioned 12th and Valencia lingering in the relegation zone at 18th in the La Liga standings. The game is anticipated to feature fewer goals, with a predicted result of under 2.5 goals.
Match Analysis
Getafe's recent form has been a mix of struggles, having managed only one draw in their last three outings. They suffered a home defeat to Sociedad and were outclassed by Betis away, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities. Their performance against Vallecano, however, showed resilience with a 1-1 draw away from home. Advanced metrics indicate that Getafe has been scoring an average of 0.8 goals per game while conceding an average of 1.0, reflecting their ongoing battle to find consistency in both scoring and defending.
Valencia, meanwhile, is enduring a difficult run, failing to secure a win in their last three matches. They drew against Elche and Mallorca at home and suffered a heavy defeat away to Celta. Valencia's defense has been particularly porous, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game, which is a cause for concern. Their expected goals metrics suggest they are creating chances, with an average of 0.912 expected goals per game, but converting them remains an issue.
Final Prediction
Valencia's slight edge in the predicted outcome can be attributed to their higher probability of winning and Getafe's recent defensive struggles. However, Valencia's own defensive issues could play a pivotal role in the match's outcome. A key factor to observe will be how Valencia's defense copes with Getafe's attacking threats, as a solid defensive performance could be crucial in securing a much-needed win.