La Liga 2025-2026: Girona vs Alaves Prediction
Girona
Home Team
35%
VS
Alaves
Away Team
40%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5:
48%
Under 2.5:
52%
Goal:
56%
No Goal:
44%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 30 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 23 |
| 4 | Ath Madrid | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Betis | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | Espanol | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Getafe | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | Alaves | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Elche | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Betis | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Celta | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Sociedad | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Levante | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
| 18 | Valencia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
| 19 | Oviedo | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 8 |
| 20 | Girona | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 7 |
Recent Trends
Girona
- Last Match: vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 0)
Alaves
- Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Elche (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Mallorca (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Girona
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.38
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.30
# Clean Sheets:
1
Alaves
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.94
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.24
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
Alaves is predicted to claim victory over Girona with a 40.0% probability, while Girona's chances stand at 35.0%. The potential for a draw is at 25.0%. Alaves currently sits at 8th place in La Liga, a significant improvement over Girona, who is positioned at the bottom of the table in 20th place. The match is expected to feature under 2.5 goals, with a 48.0% probability of this outcome.
Match Analysis
Girona's recent form has been challenging, marked by a mixed bag of results. Their last three outings have seen them lose twice, to Getafe and Barcelona, with a draw against Oviedo. Despite showing some resilience by scoring in each match, their defensive frailties are evident, conceding a total of 7 goals over these games. Advanced metrics reveal Girona's struggles at the back, with an average of 2.0 goals conceded per match in their last five games, indicating a vulnerable defense.
Alaves, on the other hand, has had a more stable performance trajectory. Their recent win against Espanol was a morale booster, although a loss to Vallecano and a goalless draw with Valencia highlight some inconsistencies. Alaves has been defensively solid, conceding an average of only 0.8 goals per game in their last five outings, which could prove pivotal against Girona's attacking attempts. Their lower scoring average, however, could be a concern, with just 0.4 goals per game in the same period.
Final Prediction
Alaves is favored to edge out Girona due to their stronger defensive record and higher league standing. Their ability to keep games tight, as demonstrated by their recent performances, might be the deciding factor. A key aspect to watch will be whether Girona can break through Alaves' defensive setup or if Alaves can capitalize on Girona's defensive lapses to secure the win.