La Liga 2025-2026: Girona vs Ath Madrid Prediction

Girona

Home Team
6%
VS

Ath Madrid

Away Team
87%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 17 14 1 2 49 20 29 43
2 Real Madrid 17 12 3 2 34 16 18 39
3 Villarreal 15 11 2 2 31 13 18 35
4 Ath Madrid 17 10 4 3 30 16 14 34
5 Espanol 16 9 3 4 20 16 4 30
6 Betis 16 6 7 3 25 19 6 25
7 Betis 17 7 2 8 15 22 -7 23
8 Celta 16 5 7 4 20 19 1 22
9 Sevilla 16 6 2 8 24 24 0 20
10 Getafe 16 6 2 8 13 18 -5 20
11 Elche 16 4 7 5 19 20 -1 19
12 Alaves 16 5 3 8 14 17 -3 18
13 Vallecano 16 4 6 6 13 16 -3 18
14 Mallorca 16 4 5 7 18 23 -5 17
15 Sociedad 16 4 4 8 20 24 -4 16
16 Osasuna 16 4 3 9 14 20 -6 15
17 Valencia 16 3 6 7 15 25 -10 15
18 Girona 16 3 6 7 15 30 -15 15
19 Oviedo 16 2 4 10 7 26 -19 10
20 Levante 15 2 3 10 16 28 -12 9

Recent Trends

Girona ✅ ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Elche (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Real Madrid (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)

Ath Madrid ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Valencia (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Oviedo (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Girona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.36
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.92
# Clean Sheets: 1

Ath Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.04
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.77
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Girona and Ath Madrid is anticipated to heavily favor the visitors, with an 87.0% probability of Ath Madrid emerging victorious. Meanwhile, Girona stands a mere 6.0% chance of pulling off a win on home turf. With both teams currently in contrasting positions in the La Liga standings—Ath Madrid in 4th place with 34 points and Girona languishing at 18th with 15 points—the prediction suggests a low-scoring affair, with an expectation of under 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

Girona has displayed a patchwork of results in their recent run, securing a notable away win against Sociedad but suffering a heavy defeat to Elche. They managed to hold their ground against Real Madrid with a 1-1 draw at home. Despite these mixed performances, Girona's offensive output has shown some promise, averaging 1.4 goals per game in their last five matches. However, their defense remains leaky, with an average of 1.0 goal conceded per game and only one clean sheet in the same period. Ath Madrid, on the other hand, has experienced some turbulence, with a recent win against Valencia but back-to-back losses against Ath Bilbao and Barcelona. Despite these setbacks, they have maintained a steady defensive record, allowing only 1.0 goal per game on average in their last five matches. Their advanced metrics indicate a slightly lower attacking threat, with an expected goals average of 1.038, yet they have managed to keep two clean sheets, showcasing their defensive resilience.

Final Prediction

Ath Madrid's superior league position and recent defensive solidity provide them with a distinct advantage heading into this fixture. Although Girona has shown glimpses of potential, their defensive vulnerabilities could be their undoing against a more disciplined Ath Madrid side. Football fans should keep an eye on Girona's ability to break through Ath Madrid’s defense, which might prove pivotal in altering the expected course of the game.